Copa Uruguay
Wanderers DuraznoHomeL
0:3Half-time 0:2
DanubioAwayWWLWL192655
Wanderers Durazno winDrawDanubio win
Wanderers DuraznoHomeLDanubioAwayWWLWL- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.45 0.83 : 1.62
- Favourite
- 56% Danubio
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.80 | 3.44 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.65 | 1.98 | 1.72 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.97 | 3.97 | 1.62 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 5.20 | 3.60 | 1.59 | 2.06 | 1.69 | 2.02 | 1.66 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.97 | 3.97 | 1.62 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.97 | 3.97 | 1.62 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.80 | 3.75 | 1.66 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.68 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Danubio to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio prediction: Wanderers Durazno 5.20 (BC.Game), draw 3.97 (22Bet), Danubio 1.66 (Stake).
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.06 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.83 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (22Bet) and no 1.72 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
56%
Our prediction
Danubio to win
Double chanceDanubio or draw
81% chance1.15
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.83
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.14fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Danubio, full-time Danubio
35% chance2.88fair
Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio prediction
Our Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio prediction and pick
Danubio are a narrow favourite in the Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio prediction, rated 56% to win this Copa Uruguay match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Wanderers Durazno sit at 19% and the draw at 26%.
Expected goals are 0.83 for Wanderers Durazno and 1.62 for Danubio, a total of 2.45, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 46%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Danubio to win is the main selection, rated 56%. Stake offer the top price at 1.66. That price implies 60%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Danubio or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.15.
A low-scoring Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.83 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from Wanderers Durazno scoring in 56% of runs and Danubio in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Wanderers Durazno and 44% for Danubio.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 14%, then 1-1 at 11.6% and 0-2 at 11.3%.
With the top scoreline at 14%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Danubio, full-time Danubio leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 19% / 26% / 56% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Wanderers Durazno to win19%5.20
Draw26%3.97
Danubio to win56%1.66
Wanderers Durazno, draw no bet25%fair 4.00
Danubio, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Double chance
Wanderers Durazno or draw44%2.21
Danubio or draw81%1.15
Wanderers Durazno or Danubio (no draw)74%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.06
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Under 2.5 goals56%1.83
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score46%2.11
Not both teams to score54%1.72
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.31
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Wanderers Durazno to score56%fair 1.77
Danubio to score80%fair 1.25
Wanderers Durazno clean sheet20%fair 5.05
Danubio clean sheet44%fair 2.29
Wanderers Durazno to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Danubio to win to nil40%fair 2.49
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-114%
1-111.6%
0-211.3%
1-29.4%
0-08.6%
1-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Danubio / Danubio34.7%
Draw / Danubio19%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Wanderers Durazno / Wanderers Durazno10.3%
Draw / Wanderers Durazno7.7%
Questions about Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio
Wanderers Durazno or Danubio: which side does the model back?
The model gives Danubio the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Wanderers Durazno find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Danubio in 80%.
When do Wanderers Durazno play Danubio?
Kick-off is 23:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.