Ukraine Cup
Shakhtar DonetskHomeWWLDW
3:0Half-time 1:0
Dynamo KyivAwayWWLWL532522
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawDynamo Kyiv win
Shakhtar DonetskHomeWWLDWDynamo KyivAwayWWLWL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.65 1.66 : 0.99
- Favourite
- 53% Shakhtar Donetsk
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.77 | 4.36 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.82 | 1.90 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.70 | 3.77 | 4.41 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.67 | 3.65 | 4.40 | 1.84 | 1.89 | 1.75 | 1.89 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.70 | 3.77 | 4.41 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.70 | 3.77 | 4.41 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Shakhtar Donetsk to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.80 (1xBet), draw 3.77 (1xBet), Dynamo Kyiv 4.41 (Betwinner).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.91 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.90 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (Betwinner) and no 1.90 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
53%
Our prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw
78% chance1.22
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.90
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Shakhtar Donetsk, full-time Shakhtar Donetsk
33% chance3.05fair
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction, who wins and at what price
Shakhtar Donetsk host Dynamo Kyiv on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the Ukraine Cup, and the model has Shakhtar Donetsk at 53%, the draw at 25% and Dynamo Kyiv at 22%: that is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.66 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.99 for Dynamo Kyiv, a total of 2.65, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Shakhtar Donetsk to win is the main selection, rated 53%. The best price in our comparison is 1.80 at 1xBet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, shakhtar Donetsk or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.22.
Shakhtar Donetsk average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Dynamo Kyiv 1.4 and 1.4 across 5.
How many goals in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.90 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 51%: Shakhtar Donetsk find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Dynamo Kyiv in 63%. Shakhtar Donetsk keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Dynamo Kyiv 19%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: 1-0 (11.7%), 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Shakhtar Donetsk, full-time Shakhtar Donetsk is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win53%1.80
Draw25%3.77
Dynamo Kyiv to win22%4.41
Shakhtar Donetsk, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Dynamo Kyiv, draw no bet29%fair 3.44
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw78%1.22
Dynamo Kyiv or draw47%2.03
Shakhtar Donetsk or Dynamo Kyiv (no draw)75%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.91
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 2.5 goals51%1.90
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.85
Not both teams to score49%1.90
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.99
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Shakhtar Donetsk to score81%fair 1.23
Dynamo Kyiv to score63%fair 1.59
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Shakhtar Donetsk to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Dynamo Kyiv to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-011.7%
1-111.6%
2-09.7%
2-19.6%
0-07.1%
0-17%
Half-time / full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk32.8%
Draw / Shakhtar Donetsk17.6%
Draw / Draw15%
Dynamo Kyiv / Dynamo Kyiv12.5%
Draw / Dynamo Kyiv8.7%
Questions about Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv
Who is favourite in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Shakhtar Donetsk find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Dynamo Kyiv in 63%.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.