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Live 25 UTC
Ukraine Cup Round of 16 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
LNZ CherkasyHomeLWWDL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Metal KharkivAwayDDLLW
78157
LNZ Cherkasy winDrawMetal Kharkiv win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.64
2.17 : 0.47
Favourite
78%
LNZ Cherkasy
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
34%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.255.0912.601.921.822.731.41Bet
22Bet1.304.7510.001.911.832.421.51Bet
BC.Game1.304.409.401.881.842.301.51Bet
Betwinner1.304.7510.001.911.83--Bet
Melbet1.304.7510.001.911.83--Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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LNZ Cherkasy to win partner prices

BC.Game pay the best LNZ Cherkasy price at 1.30, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.09 and 1xBet have Metal Kharkiv longest at 12.60.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.92 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.84 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.73 (1xBet) and no 1.51 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

78%

Our prediction

LNZ Cherkasy to win
BankerExpected goals 2.17 : 0.47+1% against the best price
Double chanceLNZ Cherkasy or draw
93% chance1.02
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.84
BTTSNot both teams to score
66% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
17% chance5.95fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time LNZ Cherkasy, full-time LNZ Cherkasy
52% chance1.92fair

LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv prediction

LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv prediction, who wins and at what price

LNZ Cherkasy host Metal Kharkiv on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the Ukraine Cup, and the model has LNZ Cherkasy at 78%, the draw at 15% and Metal Kharkiv at 7%: that is the LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv prediction in one line.

LNZ Cherkasy are expected to score 2.17 and Metal Kharkiv 0.47, so the total line is 2.64 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 34%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

LNZ Cherkasy to win is the main selection, rated 78%. At 1.30 with BC.Game the market prices it at 77%, against 78% from the model.

For a safer line, lNZ Cherkasy or draw covers 93% of outcomes at 1.02.

The draw sits at only 15%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

LNZ Cherkasy average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Metal Kharkiv 0.6 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv

On the goal lines LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv reads 74% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; BC.Game pay 1.84.

The chance of both teams scoring is 34%, built from LNZ Cherkasy scoring in 89% of runs and Metal Kharkiv in 38%; clean sheets come at 63% for LNZ Cherkasy and 11% for Metal Kharkiv.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv: 2-0 (16.8%), 1-0 (15.5%) and 3-0 (12.2%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time LNZ Cherkasy, full-time LNZ Cherkasy leads at 52%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv

The grid built from 2.17 and 0.47 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

LNZ Cherkasy to win78%1.30
Draw15%5.09
Metal Kharkiv to win7%12.60
LNZ Cherkasy, draw no bet92%fair 1.09
Metal Kharkiv, draw no bet9%fair 11.76

Double chance

LNZ Cherkasy or draw93%1.02
Metal Kharkiv or draw22%3.63
LNZ Cherkasy or Metal Kharkiv (no draw)85%1.15

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%1.92
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals52%1.84
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score34%2.73
Not both teams to score66%1.51

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31

Team goals

LNZ Cherkasy to score89%fair 1.13
Metal Kharkiv to score38%fair 2.67
LNZ Cherkasy clean sheet63%fair 1.60
Metal Kharkiv clean sheet11%fair 8.77
LNZ Cherkasy to win to nil58%fair 1.74
Metal Kharkiv to win to nil7%fair 15.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

2-016.8%
1-015.5%
3-012.2%
2-17.9%
1-17.3%
0-07.1%

Half-time / full-time

LNZ Cherkasy / LNZ Cherkasy52.2%
Draw / LNZ Cherkasy22.6%
Draw / Draw11.6%
Metal Kharkiv / Metal Kharkiv3.4%
Draw / Metal Kharkiv3%

Questions about LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv

Who is favourite in LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv?

The model gives LNZ Cherkasy the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 15%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv?

The BTTS yes line is rated 34%. LNZ Cherkasy find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Metal Kharkiv in 38%.

When is LNZ Cherkasy vs Metal Kharkiv and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, LNZ Cherkasy v Metal KharkivLNZ Cherkasy to win, 78%
1.30Bet