Mayak SarnyHomeL
FC KharkivAwayWWWWW
Mayak SarnyHomeL
FC KharkivAwayWWWWW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.30 | 6.90 | 1.19 | 1.27 | 3.37 | 1.73 | 2.01 | Bet | |
| 8.60 | 5.97 | 1.26 | 1.32 | 3.07 | 1.65 | 2.13 | Bet | |
| 8.40 | 6.40 | 1.21 | 1.31 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.00 | Bet | |
| 8.60 | 5.97 | 1.26 | 1.32 | 3.07 | 1.65 | 2.13 | Bet | |
| 8.60 | 5.97 | 1.26 | 1.32 | 3.07 | 1.65 | 2.13 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv prediction: Mayak Sarny 11.30 (1xBet), draw 6.90 (1xBet), FC Kharkiv 1.26 (22Bet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.32 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 3.37 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 2.13 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
Our prediction
Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv prediction for the Ukraine Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes FC Kharkiv a strong favourite at 85%, with the draw at 9% and Mayak Sarny at 6%.
Mayak Sarny are expected to score 0.80 and FC Kharkiv 3.27, so the total line is 4.07 goals; over 2.5 lands at 73% and BTTS at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
FC Kharkiv to win is the main selection, rated 85%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 22Bet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 6 points above the market.
That gap is worth 7.5% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
For a safer line, fC Kharkiv or draw covers 94% of outcomes at 1.04.
With the draw down at 9%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 27% and under 3.5 42%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 91% and over 2.5 at 73%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 73%, best priced 1.32 at Betwinner.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Mayak Sarny scoring in 55% of runs and FC Kharkiv in 96%; clean sheets come at 4% for Mayak Sarny and 45% for FC Kharkiv.
The most likely scoreline is 0-3 at 10%, followed by 0-2 (9.1%) and 0-4 (8.1%).
With the top scoreline at 10%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Kharkiv, full-time FC Kharkiv leads at 62%. A goal before the break is rated 84%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives FC Kharkiv the best chance at 85%, with the draw at 9%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
0-3 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 73% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Mayak Sarny find the net in 55% of simulated matches and FC Kharkiv in 96%.
Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv starts at 09:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.