Ukraine Cup
PolessyaHomeWDWWW
2:0Half-time 2:0
Novyi RozdilAwayL9442
Polessya winDrawNovyi Rozdil win
PolessyaHomeWDWWWNovyi RozdilAwayL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.27 3.96 : 0.31
- Favourite
- 94% Polessya
- Over 2.5 goals
- 79% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 24% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.02 | 12.00 | 54.00 | 1.22 | 3.85 | 3.59 | 1.26 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.03 | 10.00 | 30.00 | 1.18 | 4.40 | 3.40 | 1.24 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.02 | 12.00 | 54.00 | 1.22 | 3.85 | 3.59 | 1.26 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.02 | 12.00 | 51.00 | - | - | 3.59 | 1.26 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Polessya to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil prediction: Polessya 1.03 (BC.Game), draw 12.00 (Melbet), Novyi Rozdil 54.00 (22Bet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.22 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 4.40 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 3.59 (Melbet) and no 1.26 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
94%
Our prediction
Polessya to win
Double chancePolessya or draw
98% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
79% chance1.22
BTTSNot both teams to score
76% chance1.26
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Polessya, full-time Polessya
78% chance1.29fair
Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil prediction
Our Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil prediction and pick
The Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil prediction leans to Polessya: 94% against 2% for Novyi Rozdil, with 4% left for the draw, in the Ukraine Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
Expected goals are 3.96 for Polessya and 0.31 for Novyi Rozdil, a total of 4.27, which puts over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams to score at 24%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is polessya to win at 94%. At 1.03 with BC.Game the market prices it at 97%, against 94% from the model.
Polessya or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 98% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 4%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 22% and under 3.5 39%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 92% and over 2.5 at 79%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 79%; Betwinner pay 1.22.
BTTS yes stands at 24%. Polessya score in 98% of simulations against a 2% clean sheet for Novyi Rozdil; Novyi Rozdil score in 27% while Polessya shut them out 73% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 76%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil: 3-0 (14.5%), 4-0 (14.3%) and 5-0 (11.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Polessya, full-time Polessya is the top combination at 78%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 85%.
All markets, Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil
The grid built from 3.96 and 0.31 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Polessya to win94%1.03
Draw4%12.00
Novyi Rozdil to win2%54.00
Polessya, draw no bet98%fair 1.02
Novyi Rozdil, draw no bet2%fair 55.56
Double chance
Polessya or draw98%-
Novyi Rozdil or draw6%9.82
Polessya or Novyi Rozdil (no draw)96%-
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 2.5 goals79%1.22
Over 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64
Over 4.5 goals42%fair 2.40
Under 1.5 goals8%fair 12.35
Under 2.5 goals22%4.40
Under 3.5 goals39%fair 2.56
BTTS
Both teams to score24%3.59
Not both teams to score76%1.26
Halves
First-half goal85%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 first-half goals57%fair 1.75
Second-half goal90%fair 1.11
Team goals
Polessya to score98%fair 1.02
Novyi Rozdil to score27%fair 3.75
Polessya clean sheet73%fair 1.36
Novyi Rozdil clean sheet2%fair 52.63
Polessya to win to nil68%fair 1.48
Novyi Rozdil to win to nil2%fair 62.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
3-014.5%
4-014.3%
5-011.3%
2-011%
1-05.5%
3-14.5%
Half-time / full-time
Polessya / Polessya77.6%
Draw / Polessya15.5%
Draw / Draw2.5%
Novyi Rozdil / Polessya1.4%
Polessya / Draw0.6%
Questions about Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil
Who is favourite in Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil?
The model gives Polessya the best chance at 94%, with the draw at 4%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil correct score: what does the model say?
3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 79% backs the same picture with less variance.
Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 24%. Polessya find the net in 98% of simulated matches and Novyi Rozdil in 27%.
When do Polessya play Novyi Rozdil?
Polessya vs Novyi Rozdil starts at 11:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.