Ukraine Premier League
PolessyaHomeWDWWW
3:1Half-time 1:1
Dynamo KyivAwayWWLWL392833
Polessya winDrawDynamo Kyiv win
PolessyaHomeWDWWWDynamo KyivAwayWWLWL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.68 1.41 : 1.27
- Favourite
- 39% Polessya
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.41 | 3.39 | 2.95 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Polessya to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv are 2.41 for Polessya at 1xBet, 3.39 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.95 for Dynamo Kyiv at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.90 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.90 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Polessya or Dynamo Kyiv (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.90
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Polessya, full-time Polessya
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction
Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction, who wins and at what price
Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction for the Ukraine Premier League on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model calls it close, Polessya 39%, draw 28%, Dynamo Kyiv 33%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Polessya are expected to score 1.41 and Dynamo Kyiv 1.27, so the total line is 2.68 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Polessya or Dynamo Kyiv (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.33. That price implies 75%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv.
Over the last 5 matches Polessya stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 72%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 1xBet pay 1.90.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Polessya scoring in 76% of runs and Dynamo Kyiv in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Polessya and 24% for Dynamo Kyiv.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 1-0 at 9.7% and 0-1 at 8.7%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Polessya, full-time Polessya is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market for Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 28% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Polessya to win39%2.41
Draw28%3.39
Dynamo Kyiv to win33%2.95
Polessya, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Dynamo Kyiv, draw no bet45%fair 2.21
Double chance
Polessya or draw67%1.41
Dynamo Kyiv or draw61%1.58
Polessya or Dynamo Kyiv (no draw)72%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%1.90
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.55
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.46
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 2.5 goals50%1.90
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.70
Not both teams to score45%2.05
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.94
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Polessya to score76%fair 1.32
Dynamo Kyiv to score72%fair 1.39
Polessya clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Polessya to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Dynamo Kyiv to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-09.7%
0-18.7%
2-18.7%
1-27.8%
0-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Polessya / Polessya23.9%
Dynamo Kyiv / Dynamo Kyiv19.6%
Draw / Draw15.5%
Draw / Polessya14.1%
Draw / Dynamo Kyiv12.2%
Questions about Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv
Polessya or Dynamo Kyiv: which side does the model back?
The model gives Polessya the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Polessya find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Dynamo Kyiv in 72%.
When do Polessya play Dynamo Kyiv?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.