Ukraine Cup
KarpatyHomeDLDDW
2:1Half-time 2:1
OleksandriaAwayWLDWL552421
Karpaty winDrawOleksandria win
KarpatyHomeDLDDWOleksandriaAwayWLDWL- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.70 1.73 : 0.97
- Favourite
- 55% Karpaty
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Karpaty vs Oleksandria
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.77 | 4.72 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.81 | 1.91 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.54 | 4.34 | 5.01 | 1.76 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.80 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.56 | 3.75 | 5.20 | 1.82 | 1.90 | 1.82 | 1.82 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.55 | 4.38 | 4.80 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.55 | 4.38 | 4.80 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Karpaty to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Karpaty price at 1.67, Melbet lead the draw at 4.38 and BC.Game have Oleksandria longest at 5.20.
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.90 (Melbet) and no 1.91 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
55%
Our prediction
Karpaty to win
Double chanceKarpaty or draw
79% chance1.16
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.83
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.91
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Karpaty, full-time Karpaty
35% chance2.90fair
Karpaty vs Oleksandria prediction
Karpaty vs Oleksandria prediction and best bet
Karpaty host Oleksandria on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the Ukraine Cup, and the model has Karpaty at 55%, the draw at 24% and Oleksandria at 21%: that is the Karpaty vs Oleksandria prediction in one line.
Karpaty are expected to score 1.73 and Oleksandria 0.97, so the total line is 2.70 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is karpaty to win at 55%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.67. That price implies 60%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Karpaty or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.16.
Form check: Karpaty have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 5 conceded, Oleksandria 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Karpaty vs Oleksandria
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 29%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 71%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Melbet pay 1.83.
Both teams to score is 50%: Karpaty find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Oleksandria in 62%. Karpaty keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Oleksandria 18%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 11.6%, followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Karpaty vs Oleksandria; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Karpaty, full-time Karpaty is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market for Karpaty vs Oleksandria
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 24% / 21% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Karpaty to win55%1.67
Draw24%4.38
Oleksandria to win21%5.20
Karpaty, draw no bet72%fair 1.38
Oleksandria, draw no bet28%fair 3.61
Double chance
Karpaty or draw79%1.16
Oleksandria or draw45%2.33
Karpaty or Oleksandria (no draw)76%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals51%1.83
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Under 2.5 goals49%2.00
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.90
Not both teams to score50%1.91
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.92
Second-half goal77%fair 1.29
Team goals
Karpaty to score82%fair 1.22
Oleksandria to score62%fair 1.61
Karpaty clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Oleksandria clean sheet18%fair 5.65
Karpaty to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Oleksandria to win to nil16%fair 6.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-011.6%
1-111.3%
2-010.1%
2-19.8%
0-06.7%
0-16.5%
Half-time / full-time
Karpaty / Karpaty34.5%
Draw / Karpaty18%
Draw / Draw14.5%
Oleksandria / Oleksandria11.6%
Draw / Oleksandria8.1%
Questions about Karpaty vs Oleksandria
Who is favourite in Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
The model gives Karpaty the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Karpaty vs Oleksandria correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Karpaty vs Oleksandria?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Karpaty find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Oleksandria in 62%.
When do Karpaty play Oleksandria?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.