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Live 11 UTC
Ukraine Cup Round of 16 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
ChernihivHomeWWLLL
1:2Half-time 1:1
Epitsentr DunayivtsiAwayLLDLW
101674
Chernihiv winDrawEpitsentr Dunayivtsi win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
3.25
0.80 : 2.45
Favourite
73%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

73%

Our prediction

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win
BankerExpected goals 0.80 : 2.45
1.36fair
Double chanceEpitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw
90% chance1.12fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.59fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.99fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, full-time Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
51% chance1.98fair

Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi prediction

Our Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi prediction and pick

Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi prediction for the Ukraine Cup on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the clear favourite at 73%, with the draw at 16% and Chernihiv at 10%.

Chernihiv are expected to score 0.80 and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2.45, so the total line is 3.25 goals; over 2.5 lands at 63% and BTTS at 50%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win, a 73% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance.

With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Chernihiv stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi reads 84% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 41% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Chernihiv score in 55% of simulations against a 45% clean sheet for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score in 91% while Chernihiv shut them out 9% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: 0-2 (11.6%), 0-3 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, full-time Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is the top combination at 51%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

Every market for Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Chernihiv to win10%fair 9.62
Draw16%fair 6.13
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win73%fair 1.36
Chernihiv, draw no bet12%fair 8.06
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, draw no bet88%fair 1.14

Double chance

Chernihiv or draw27%fair 3.75
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw90%fair 1.12
Chernihiv or Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (no draw)84%fair 1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.45
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 2.5 goals37%fair 2.68
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.69

BTTS

Both teams to score50%fair 1.99
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.01

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.33
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Chernihiv to score55%fair 1.81
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to score91%fair 1.09
Chernihiv clean sheet9%fair 11.63
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Chernihiv to win to nil8%fair 12.66
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win to nil41%fair 2.42

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

0-211.6%
0-39.5%
0-19.5%
1-29.3%
1-37.6%
1-17.6%

Half-time / full-time

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi50.5%
Draw / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi19.9%
Draw / Draw9.4%
Chernihiv / Chernihiv5.5%
Draw / Chernihiv4%

Questions about Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Chernihiv or Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: which side does the model back?

The model gives Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the best chance at 73%, with the draw at 16%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi correct score: what does the model say?

0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Chernihiv find the net in 55% of simulated matches and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in 91%.

When is Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and where is the result shown?

Chernihiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi starts at 10:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Chernihiv v Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi to win, 73%
1.36fair