Ukraine Premier League
Shakhtar DonetskHomeWWLDW
2:1Half-time 2:0
Kolos KovalivkaAwayWWLW78148
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawKolos Kovalivka win
Shakhtar DonetskHomeWWLDWKolos KovalivkaAwayWWLW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.09 2.46 : 0.63
- Favourite
- 78% Shakhtar Donetsk
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.29 | 5.65 | 10.50 | 1.62 | 2.21 | 2.11 | 1.66 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Shakhtar Donetsk to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Shakhtar Donetsk price at 1.29, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.65 and 1xBet have Kolos Kovalivka longest at 10.50.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.62 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.21 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (1xBet) and no 1.66 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
78%
Our prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw
93% chance1.05
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
14% chance7.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Shakhtar Donetsk, full-time Shakhtar Donetsk
54% chance1.86fair
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka prediction, who wins and at what price
Shakhtar Donetsk host Kolos Kovalivka on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Ukraine Premier League, and the model has Shakhtar Donetsk at 78%, the draw at 14% and Kolos Kovalivka at 7%: that is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka prediction in one line.
Shakhtar Donetsk are expected to score 2.46 and Kolos Kovalivka 0.63, so the total line is 3.09 goals; over 2.5 lands at 59% and BTTS at 44%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Shakhtar Donetsk to win is the main selection, rated 78%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 1 points under the model figure.
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance, priced 1.05.
With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Shakhtar Donetsk have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 3 conceded, Kolos Kovalivka 3 of 4 scoring 9 and conceding 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 63%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.62 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Shakhtar Donetsk scoring in 92% of runs and Kolos Kovalivka in 47%; clean sheets come at 53% for Shakhtar Donetsk and 9% for Kolos Kovalivka.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 13.8%, followed by 3-0 (11.3%) and 1-0 (11.2%).
With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Shakhtar Donetsk, full-time Shakhtar Donetsk is the top combination at 54%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
All markets, Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 78% / 14% / 7% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win78%1.29
Draw14%5.65
Kolos Kovalivka to win7%10.50
Shakhtar Donetsk, draw no bet91%fair 1.09
Kolos Kovalivka, draw no bet9%fair 11.63
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw93%1.05
Kolos Kovalivka or draw22%3.67
Shakhtar Donetsk or Kolos Kovalivka (no draw)86%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.62
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.68
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.00
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 2.5 goals42%2.21
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59
BTTS
Both teams to score44%2.11
Not both teams to score56%1.66
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.47
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Shakhtar Donetsk to score92%fair 1.09
Kolos Kovalivka to score47%fair 2.14
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet53%fair 1.88
Kolos Kovalivka clean sheet9%fair 11.76
Shakhtar Donetsk to win to nil49%fair 2.04
Kolos Kovalivka to win to nil7%fair 14.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-013.8%
3-011.3%
1-011.2%
2-18.7%
3-17.1%
1-17.1%
Half-time / full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk / Shakhtar Donetsk53.9%
Draw / Shakhtar Donetsk20.9%
Draw / Draw9.3%
Kolos Kovalivka / Kolos Kovalivka3.9%
Draw / Kolos Kovalivka3.1%
Questions about Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 14%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Shakhtar Donetsk find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Kolos Kovalivka in 47%.
What time does Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka kick off?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.