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Ukraine Cup Round of 16 Thursday, 29 October 2026 Pens
Zorya LuhanskHomeLWWDD
1:1Half-time 1:1Penalties 2:3
Kryvbas KRAwayLLDD
661915
Zorya Luhansk winDrawKryvbas KR win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.96
2.09 : 0.87
Favourite
66%
Zorya Luhansk
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.434.506.441.682.121.871.85Bet
22Bet1.564.055.191.662.101.801.90Bet
BC.Game1.503.955.601.682.101.711.95Bet
Betwinner1.564.055.191.662.101.801.90Bet
Melbet1.504.155.701.662.101.801.90Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Zorya Luhansk to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Zorya Luhansk price at 1.56, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.50 and 1xBet have Kryvbas KR longest at 6.44.

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.68 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.12 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (1xBet) and no 1.95 (BC.Game).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

66%

Our prediction

Zorya Luhansk to win
BankerExpected goals 2.09 : 0.87+3% against the best price
Double chanceZorya Luhansk or draw
85% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Zorya Luhansk, full-time Zorya Luhansk
43% chance2.33fair

Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR prediction

Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR prediction and best bet

Zorya Luhansk are the clear favourite in the Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR prediction, rated 66% to win this Ukraine Cup match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Kryvbas KR sit at 15% and the draw at 19%.

The goal expectancy is 2.96 in total, split 2.09 to Zorya Luhansk and 0.87 to Kryvbas KR. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR is zorya Luhansk to win, a 66% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.56. That price implies 64%, 2 points under the model figure.

A 3% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

For a safer line, zorya Luhansk or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.13.

With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Zorya Luhansk stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Kryvbas KR show 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 4.

Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR reads 80% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.68 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Zorya Luhansk score in 88% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Kryvbas KR; Kryvbas KR score in 58% while Zorya Luhansk shut them out 42% of the time.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.3%, then 1-0 at 10.8% and 2-1 at 9.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Zorya Luhansk, full-time Zorya Luhansk leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR

The grid built from 2.09 and 0.87 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Zorya Luhansk to win66%1.56
Draw19%4.50
Kryvbas KR to win15%6.44
Zorya Luhansk, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Kryvbas KR, draw no bet18%fair 5.46

Double chance

Zorya Luhansk or draw85%1.13
Kryvbas KR or draw34%2.65
Zorya Luhansk or Kryvbas KR (no draw)81%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.68
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 2.5 goals44%2.12
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.87
Not both teams to score49%1.95

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.60
Second-half goal80%fair 1.24

Team goals

Zorya Luhansk to score88%fair 1.14
Kryvbas KR to score58%fair 1.72
Zorya Luhansk clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Kryvbas KR clean sheet12%fair 8.06
Zorya Luhansk to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Kryvbas KR to win to nil11%fair 8.77

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011.3%
1-010.8%
2-19.8%
1-19.4%
3-07.9%
3-16.9%

Half-time / full-time

Zorya Luhansk / Zorya Luhansk43%
Draw / Zorya Luhansk19.5%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Kryvbas KR / Kryvbas KR7.9%
Draw / Kryvbas KR5.7%

Questions about Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR

Zorya Luhansk or Kryvbas KR: which side does the model back?

The model gives Zorya Luhansk the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Zorya Luhansk find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Kryvbas KR in 58%.

When do Zorya Luhansk play Kryvbas KR?

Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Zorya Luhansk v Kryvbas KRZorya Luhansk to win, 66%
1.56Bet