Uganda Premier League
Mbarara CityHomeLWLWL
1:0Half-time 1:0
VipersAwayDWDLL122266
Mbarara City winDrawVipers win
Mbarara CityHomeLWLWLVipersAwayDWDLL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.38 0.61 : 1.77
- Favourite
- 66% Vipers
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Mbarara City vs Vipers odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 7.65 | 3.78 | 1.40 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 2.24 | 1.55 | Bet |
 22Bet | 6.61 | 3.60 | 1.47 | 2.12 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.57 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 6.00 | 3.70 | 1.52 | 2.10 | 1.67 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 6.93 | 3.64 | 1.45 | 2.12 | 1.62 | 2.22 | 1.56 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.47 | 3.71 | 1.70 | 2.13 | 1.67 | 2.18 | 1.61 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Vipers to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Mbarara City price at 7.65, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.78 and Melbet have Vipers longest at 1.70.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 101.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.13 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.67 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.24 (1xBet) and no 1.61 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
66%
Our prediction
Vipers to win
Double chanceVipers or draw
88% chance1.17
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
16% chance6.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Vipers, full-time Vipers
42% chance2.39fair
Mbarara City vs Vipers prediction
Mbarara City vs Vipers prediction and best bet
Mbarara City host Vipers on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the Uganda Premier League, and the model has Vipers at 66%, the draw at 22% and Mbarara City at 12%: that is the Mbarara City vs Vipers prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.38 in total, split 0.61 to Mbarara City and 1.77 to Vipers. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 39%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Mbarara City vs Vipers is vipers to win, a 66% chance. At 1.70 with Melbet the market prices it at 59%, against 66% from the model.
A 11.7% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.
Vipers or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 88% chance, priced 1.17.
Mbarara City average 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Vipers 1.2 and 0.6 across 5.
A low-scoring Mbarara City vs Vipers? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 78%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; BC.Game pay 1.67.
The chance of both teams scoring is 39%, built from Mbarara City scoring in 46% of runs and Vipers in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for Mbarara City and 54% for Vipers.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mbarara City vs Vipers: 0-1 (16.4%), 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-1 (10%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Vipers, full-time Vipers is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market for Mbarara City vs Vipers
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 12% / 22% / 66% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Mbarara City to win12%7.65
Draw22%3.78
Vipers to win66%1.70
Mbarara City, draw no bet16%fair 6.37
Vipers, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Double chance
Mbarara City or draw34%2.53
Vipers or draw88%1.17
Mbarara City or Vipers (no draw)78%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.13
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals58%1.67
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.24
Not both teams to score61%1.61
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Mbarara City to score46%fair 2.19
Vipers to score83%fair 1.20
Mbarara City clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Vipers clean sheet54%fair 1.84
Mbarara City to win to nil11%fair 8.93
Vipers to win to nil50%fair 2.00
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-116.4%
0-214.5%
1-110%
0-09.3%
1-28.8%
0-38.6%
Half-time / full-time
Vipers / Vipers41.8%
Draw / Vipers21.5%
Draw / Draw15.4%
Mbarara City / Mbarara City6.4%
Draw / Mbarara City5.3%
Questions about Mbarara City vs Vipers
Who is favourite in Mbarara City vs Vipers?
The model gives Vipers the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Mbarara City vs Vipers?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 16.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Mbarara City vs Vipers both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Mbarara City find the net in 46% of simulated matches and Vipers in 83%.
When do Mbarara City play Vipers?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.