Uganda Premier League
Mbarara CityHomeLWLWL
1:3Half-time 1:2
KCCAAwayWWWW303535
Mbarara City winDrawKCCA win
Mbarara CityHomeLWLWLKCCAAwayWWWW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.64 0.76 : 0.88
- Favourite
- 36% KCCA
- Over 2.5 goals
- 23% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 31% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Mbarara City vs KCCA betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Mbarara City vs KCCA yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
71%
Our prediction
KCCA or draw
1.42fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
69% chance1.46fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
49% chance2.05fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
19% chance5.15fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
52% chance1.92fair
Mbarara City vs KCCA prediction
Mbarara City vs KCCA prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Mbarara City vs KCCA prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 30% home, 35% draw and 36% away in the Uganda Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 1.64 in total, split 0.76 to Mbarara City and 0.88 to KCCA. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 23% and both teams to score 31%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is kCCA or draw at 71%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Mbarara City have won 2 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 7 conceded, KCCA 4 of 4 scoring 8 and conceding 2.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Mbarara City vs KCCA
Under 2.5 goals is rated 77% and under 3.5 92%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 49% and over 2.5 at 23%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 77%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 31%, built from Mbarara City scoring in 53% of runs and KCCA in 59%; clean sheets come at 42% for Mbarara City and 47% for KCCA.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 19.4%, followed by 0-1 (17.1%) and 1-0 (14.7%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 52%.
Every market rated for Mbarara City vs KCCA
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 35% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Mbarara City to win30%fair 3.39
Draw35%fair 2.89
KCCA to win36%fair 2.79
Mbarara City, draw no bet45%fair 2.22
KCCA, draw no bet55%fair 1.82
Double chance
Mbarara City or draw64%fair 1.56
KCCA or draw71%fair 1.42
Mbarara City or KCCA (no draw)65%fair 1.53
Goals
Over 0.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 goals49%fair 2.05
Over 2.5 goals23%fair 4.37
Over 3.5 goals8%fair 11.90
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 38.46
Under 1.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Under 2.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Under 3.5 goals92%fair 1.09
BTTS
Both teams to score31%fair 3.18
Not both teams to score69%fair 1.46
Halves
First-half goal52%fair 1.92
Over 1.5 first-half goals17%fair 5.92
Second-half goal59%fair 1.68
Team goals
Mbarara City to score53%fair 1.88
KCCA to score59%fair 1.71
Mbarara City clean sheet42%fair 2.41
KCCA clean sheet47%fair 2.14
Mbarara City to win to nil27%fair 3.69
KCCA to win to nil33%fair 3.03
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.08
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93
Most likely scores
0-019.4%
0-117.1%
1-014.7%
1-113%
0-27.5%
1-25.7%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw26.8%
KCCA / KCCA19.9%
Mbarara City / Mbarara City15.7%
Draw / KCCA15.1%
Draw / Mbarara City12.6%
Questions about Mbarara City vs KCCA
Who is favourite in Mbarara City vs KCCA?
The model gives KCCA the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Mbarara City vs KCCA?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 19.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 23%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Mbarara City vs KCCA?
The BTTS yes line is rated 31%. Mbarara City find the net in 53% of simulated matches and KCCA in 59%.
When is Mbarara City vs KCCA and where is the result shown?
Mbarara City vs KCCA starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.