Uganda Premier League
KCCAHomeWWWW
2:1Half-time 0:0
LugaziAwayLDDLL75178
KCCA winDrawLugazi win
KCCAHomeWWWWLugaziAwayLDDLL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.50 2.04 : 0.46
- Favourite
- 75% KCCA
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 33% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Best odds for KCCA vs Lugazi
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.26 | 4.33 | 13.70 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.62 | 1.42 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.26 | 4.33 | 13.70 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.63 | 1.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
KCCA to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the KCCA vs Lugazi prediction: KCCA 1.26 (22Bet), draw 4.33 (22Bet), Lugazi 13.70 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 91.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.91 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.63 (22Bet) and no 1.42 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
KCCA to win
Double chanceKCCA or draw
92% chance-
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.75
BTTSNot both teams to score
67% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
17% chance5.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time KCCA, full-time KCCA
50% chance2.00fair
KCCA vs Lugazi prediction
Our KCCA vs Lugazi prediction and pick
KCCA vs Lugazi prediction for the Uganda Premier League on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes KCCA the clear favourite at 75%, with the draw at 17% and Lugazi at 8%.
The goal expectancy is 2.50 in total, split 2.04 to KCCA and 0.46 to Lugazi. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 33%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for KCCA vs Lugazi is kCCA to win, a 75% chance. At 1.26 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 75% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on KCCA vs Lugazi.
KCCA or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
KCCA average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded across their last 4, Lugazi 0.4 and 1.4 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for KCCA vs Lugazi
Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 22Bet pay 1.75.
The chance of both teams scoring is 33%, built from KCCA scoring in 87% of runs and Lugazi in 37%; clean sheets come at 63% for KCCA and 13% for Lugazi.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 17.1%, then 1-0 at 16.7% and 3-0 at 11.6%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time KCCA, full-time KCCA leads at 50%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for KCCA vs Lugazi
The grid built from 2.04 and 0.46 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
KCCA to win75%1.26
Draw17%4.33
Lugazi to win8%13.70
KCCA, draw no bet91%fair 1.10
Lugazi, draw no bet10%fair 10.53
Double chance
KCCA or draw92%-
Lugazi or draw25%3.29
KCCA or Lugazi (no draw)83%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%1.91
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.75
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score33%2.63
Not both teams to score67%1.42
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
KCCA to score87%fair 1.15
Lugazi to score37%fair 2.71
KCCA clean sheet63%fair 1.58
Lugazi clean sheet13%fair 7.69
KCCA to win to nil58%fair 1.72
Lugazi to win to nil7%fair 13.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-017.1%
1-016.7%
3-011.6%
0-08.2%
2-17.9%
1-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
KCCA / KCCA50%
Draw / KCCA22.8%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Lugazi / Lugazi3.6%
Draw / Lugazi3.2%
Questions about KCCA vs Lugazi
KCCA or Lugazi: which side does the model back?
The model gives KCCA the best chance at 75%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for KCCA vs Lugazi?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
KCCA vs Lugazi both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 33%. KCCA find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Lugazi in 37%.
What time does KCCA vs Lugazi kick off?
KCCA vs Lugazi starts at 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.