Uganda Premier League
VipersHomeDWDLL
0:0Half-time 0:0
PoliceAwayLLDWW87103
Vipers winDrawPolice win
VipersHomeDWDLLPoliceAwayLLDWW- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.88 2.56 : 0.32
- Favourite
- 87% Vipers
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 27% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Vipers vs Police betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.10 | 6.25 | 18.50 | 1.69 | 1.95 | 3.20 | 1.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Vipers to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Vipers vs Police are 1.10 for Vipers at 1xBet, 6.25 for the draw at 1xBet and 18.50 for Police at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.95 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 3.20 (1xBet) and no 1.28 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
87%
Our prediction
Vipers to win
Double chanceVipers or draw
96% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
73% chance1.28
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
18% chance5.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Vipers, full-time Vipers
62% chance1.62fair
Vipers vs Police prediction
Our Vipers vs Police prediction and pick
The Vipers vs Police prediction leans to Vipers: 87% against 4% for Police, with 10% left for the draw, in the Uganda Premier League on Friday, 23 October 2026.
Expected goals are 2.56 for Vipers and 0.32 for Police, a total of 2.88, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 27%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is vipers to win at 87%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.10. That price implies 91%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Vipers vs Police.
Vipers or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 96% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 10%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Vipers have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 3 conceded, Police 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 11.
How many goals in Vipers vs Police? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 54%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.69.
The chance of both teams scoring is 27%, built from Vipers scoring in 92% of runs and Police in 27%; clean sheets come at 73% for Vipers and 8% for Police.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 73%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 18.4%, followed by 3-0 (15.7%) and 1-0 (14.4%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Vipers, full-time Vipers is the top combination at 62%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market rated for Vipers vs Police
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 87% / 10% / 4% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Vipers to win87%1.10
Draw10%6.25
Police to win4%18.50
Vipers, draw no bet96%fair 1.04
Police, draw no bet4%fair 25.00
Double chance
Vipers or draw96%-
Police or draw13%4.67
Vipers or Police (no draw)91%1.04
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.69
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals46%1.95
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48
BTTS
Both teams to score27%3.20
Not both teams to score73%1.28
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Vipers to score92%fair 1.08
Police to score27%fair 3.65
Vipers clean sheet73%fair 1.38
Police clean sheet8%fair 12.99
Vipers to win to nil67%fair 1.50
Police to win to nil3%fair 30.30
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-018.4%
3-015.7%
1-014.4%
4-010%
2-15.9%
0-05.6%
Half-time / full-time
Vipers / Vipers61.7%
Draw / Vipers22.3%
Draw / Draw8.3%
Police / Vipers1.6%
Police / Police1.5%
Questions about Vipers vs Police
Who will win Vipers vs Police?
The model gives Vipers the best chance at 87%, with the draw at 10%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Vipers vs Police?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Vipers vs Police?
The BTTS yes line is rated 27%. Vipers find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Police in 27%.
What time does Vipers vs Police kick off?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.