Uganda Premier League
KitaraHomeWWLLW
v
BULAwayDWWD292843
Kitara winDrawBUL win
KitaraHomeWWLLWBULAwayDWWD- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.36 1.04 : 1.32
- Favourite
- 43% BUL
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Kitara vs BUL betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
73%
Our prediction
Kitara or BUL (no draw)
1.38fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.72fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.90fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time BUL, full-time BUL
25% chance3.95fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.53fair
Kitara vs BUL prediction
Kitara vs BUL prediction and best bet
The Kitara vs BUL prediction leans to BUL: 43% against 29% for Kitara, with 28% left for the draw, in the Uganda Premier League on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.36 in total, split 1.04 to Kitara and 1.32 to BUL. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 47%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is kitara or BUL (no draw) at 73%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Form check: Kitara have won 3 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 7 conceded, BUL 2 of 4 scoring 5 and conceding 2.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Kitara vs BUL
On the goal lines Kitara vs BUL reads 68% for over 1.5, 42% for over 2.5 and 21% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Kitara scoring in 65% of runs and BUL in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Kitara and 35% for BUL.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13%, then 0-1 at 12.5% and 1-0 at 9.8%.
With the top scoreline at 13%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kitara vs BUL; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time BUL, full-time BUL is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.
All markets, Kitara vs BUL
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Kitara vs BUL, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Kitara to win29%fair 3.40
Draw28%fair 3.62
BUL to win43%fair 2.32
Kitara, draw no bet41%fair 2.46
BUL, draw no bet59%fair 1.68
Double chance
Kitara or draw57%fair 1.75
BUL or draw71%fair 1.41
Kitara or BUL (no draw)73%fair 1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%fair 2.38
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.99
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Under 2.5 goals58%fair 1.72
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score47%fair 2.11
Not both teams to score53%fair 1.90
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.53
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.48
Second-half goal73%fair 1.38
Team goals
Kitara to score65%fair 1.55
BUL to score73%fair 1.36
Kitara clean sheet27%fair 3.75
BUL clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Kitara to win to nil25%fair 4.07
BUL to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113%
0-112.5%
1-09.8%
0-09.4%
1-28.6%
0-28.2%
Half-time / full-time
BUL / BUL25.3%
Draw / Draw17.9%
Kitara / Kitara16.5%
Draw / BUL15.6%
Draw / Kitara11.4%
Questions about Kitara vs BUL
Kitara or BUL: which side does the model back?
The model gives BUL the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Kitara vs BUL?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Kitara vs BUL?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Kitara find the net in 65% of simulated matches and BUL in 73%.
When do Kitara play BUL?
Kitara vs BUL starts at 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.