Uganda Premier League
PoliceHomeLLDWW
3:1Half-time 1:1
Kigezi HomeBoyzAwayLLLL602713
Police winDrawKigezi HomeBoyz win
PoliceHomeLLDWWKigezi HomeBoyzAwayLLLL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.12 1.53 : 0.59
- Favourite
- 60% Police
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 36% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.68 | 3.22 | 5.72 | 2.52 | 1.53 | 2.63 | 1.43 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.53 | 3.40 | 6.60 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.68 | 3.22 | 5.72 | 2.52 | 1.53 | 2.63 | 1.43 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.68 | 3.22 | 5.72 | 2.52 | 1.53 | 2.63 | 1.43 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Police to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz are 1.68 for Police at Melbet, 3.40 for the draw at BC.Game and 6.60 for Kigezi HomeBoyz at BC.Game.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.52 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.53 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.63 (Melbet) and no 1.43 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
60%
Our prediction
Police to win
Double chancePolice or draw
87% chance1.10
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.53
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
18% chance5.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Police, full-time Police
37% chance2.69fair
Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz prediction
Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz prediction, who wins and at what price
The Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz prediction leans to Police: 60% against 13% for Kigezi HomeBoyz, with 27% left for the draw, in the Uganda Premier League on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.12 in total, split 1.53 to Police and 0.59 to Kigezi HomeBoyz. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 35% and both teams to score 36%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz is police to win, a 60% chance. Melbet offer the top price at 1.68. That price implies 60%, 0 points under the model figure.
Police or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.10.
Police average 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Kigezi HomeBoyz 0.2 and 1.8 across 4.
A low-scoring Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 63%, over 2.5 at 35%, over 3.5 at 17%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 84%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.53 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 36%. Police score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Kigezi HomeBoyz; Kigezi HomeBoyz score in 45% while Police shut them out 55% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 18.4%, then 2-0 at 14% and 0-0 at 12%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Police, full-time Police leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Police to win60%1.68
Draw27%3.40
Kigezi HomeBoyz to win13%6.60
Police, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Kigezi HomeBoyz, draw no bet18%fair 5.46
Double chance
Police or draw87%1.10
Kigezi HomeBoyz or draw40%2.24
Police or Kigezi HomeBoyz (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Over 2.5 goals35%2.52
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 15.63
Under 1.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Under 2.5 goals65%1.53
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score36%2.63
Not both teams to score64%1.43
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.63
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.05
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Police to score78%fair 1.28
Kigezi HomeBoyz to score45%fair 2.24
Police clean sheet55%fair 1.81
Kigezi HomeBoyz clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Police to win to nil51%fair 1.96
Kigezi HomeBoyz to win to nil12%fair 8.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-018.4%
2-014%
0-012%
1-110.8%
2-18.3%
3-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Police / Police37.2%
Draw / Police21.2%
Draw / Draw18.5%
Kigezi HomeBoyz / Kigezi HomeBoyz7.4%
Draw / Kigezi HomeBoyz6.2%
Questions about Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
Who will win Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz?
The model gives Police the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 35% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz?
The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Police find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Kigezi HomeBoyz in 45%.
When is Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.