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Live 31 UTC
Segunda División Round 11 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
AlmeriaHomeWWDWD
2:2Half-time 2:0
OviedoAwayLWWDD
582517
Almeria winDrawOviedo win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.77
1.83 : 0.94
Favourite
58%
Almeria
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Almeria vs Oviedo

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.693.985.001.822.031.761.96Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Almeria to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Almeria price at 1.69, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.98 and 1xBet have Oviedo longest at 5.00.

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.82 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.03 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (1xBet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

58%

Our prediction

Almeria to win
StrongExpected goals 1.83 : 0.94-2.5% against the best price
Double chanceAlmeria or draw
82% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.82
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Almeria, full-time Almeria
37% chance2.71fair

Almeria vs Oviedo odds movement

Almeria win1.69-0.03
Draw3.98unchanged
Oviedo win5.00-0.34
Over 2.5 goals1.82-0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.03-0.03

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Almeria vs Oviedo prediction

Almeria vs Oviedo prediction, who wins and at what price

Almeria host Oviedo on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Segunda División, and the model has Almeria at 58%, the draw at 25% and Oviedo at 18%: that is the Almeria vs Oviedo prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.77 in total, split 1.83 to Almeria and 0.94 to Oviedo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Almeria to win is the main selection, rated 58%. The best price in our comparison is 1.69 at 1xBet, which implies 59%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

Almeria or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance, priced 1.19.

Form check: Almeria have won 3 of their last 5 with 12 scored and 6 conceded, Oviedo 2 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 11.

How many goals in Almeria vs Oviedo? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Almeria vs Oviedo reads 76% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.82 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 52%: Almeria find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Oviedo in 61%. Almeria keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Oviedo 16%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.5%, then 1-1 at 10.8% and 2-0 at 10.5%.

With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Almeria vs Oviedo; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Almeria, full-time Almeria leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Almeria vs Oviedo

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 58% / 25% / 18% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Almeria to win58%1.69
Draw25%3.98
Oviedo to win18%5.00
Almeria, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
Oviedo, draw no bet24%fair 4.22

Double chance

Almeria or draw82%1.19
Oviedo or draw42%2.22
Almeria or Oviedo (no draw)76%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.82
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%2.03
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.76
Not both teams to score48%1.96

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Almeria to score84%fair 1.19
Oviedo to score61%fair 1.64
Almeria clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Oviedo clean sheet16%fair 6.25
Almeria to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Oviedo to win to nil15%fair 6.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.5%
1-110.8%
2-010.5%
2-19.9%
3-06.4%
0-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

Almeria / Almeria36.9%
Draw / Almeria18.5%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Oviedo / Oviedo10.4%
Draw / Oviedo7.4%

Questions about Almeria vs Oviedo

Who will win Almeria vs Oviedo?

The model gives Almeria the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Almeria vs Oviedo?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Almeria vs Oviedo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Almeria find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Oviedo in 61%.

When do Almeria play Oviedo?

Almeria vs Oviedo starts at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Almeria v OviedoAlmeria to win, 58%
1.69Bet