Girona vs Celta de Vigo II prediction

Our Girona vs Celta de Vigo II prediction and pick

Girona host Celta de Vigo II on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Segunda División, and the model has Girona at 71%, the draw at 18% and Celta de Vigo II at 11%: that is the Girona vs Celta de Vigo II prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.22 in total, split 2.37 to Girona and 0.85 to Celta de Vigo II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Girona to win is the main selection, rated 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.34 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Girona or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.07.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Girona average 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Celta de Vigo II 2.0 and 2.4 across 5.

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Girona vs Celta de Vigo II reads 83% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.48.

Both teams to score is 53%: Girona find the net in 91% of simulated matches and Celta de Vigo II in 57%. Girona keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and Celta de Vigo II 9%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11.2%, followed by 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.5%).

With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Girona vs Celta de Vigo II; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Girona, full-time Girona is the top combination at 48%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.