Eibar vs Almeria prediction

Eibar vs Almeria prediction and best bet

The Eibar vs Almeria prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Segunda División on Saturday, 31 October 2026 gives Eibar a 37% chance, Almeria 36% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.91 in total, split 1.46 to Eibar and 1.45 to Almeria. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 61%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Eibar vs Almeria is eibar or Almeria (no draw), a 73% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Eibar have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 8 conceded, Almeria 3 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 6.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Eibar vs Almeria

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.72 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 61%: Eibar find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Almeria in 77%. Eibar keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Almeria 23%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%, followed by 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.4%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Eibar, full-time Eibar leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.