Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II prediction

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II prediction and best bet

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II prediction for the Segunda División on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Las Palmas marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 26% and Real Sociedad II at 29%.

The goal expectancy is 2.98 in total, split 1.67 to Las Palmas and 1.31 to Real Sociedad II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 61%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Las Palmas or Real Sociedad II (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 2 points over the model figure.

Over the last 5 matches Las Palmas stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Real Sociedad II show 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II

Under 2.5 goals is rated 44% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.72.

BTTS yes stands at 61%. Las Palmas score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Real Sociedad II; Real Sociedad II score in 73% while Las Palmas shut them out 27% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Las Palmas, full-time Las Palmas is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.