Segunda División
CadizHomeWLLWW
3:1Half-time 0:1
AD Ceuta FCAwayLLLWL482725
Cadiz winDrawAD Ceuta FC win
CadizHomeWLLWWAD Ceuta FCAwayLLLWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.69 1.59 : 1.10
- Favourite
- 48% Cadiz
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.48 | 3.70 | 1.88 | 1.96 | 1.68 | 2.06 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.94 | 3.52 | 3.94 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 1.77 | 2.05 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.85 | 1.84 | 1.87 | 1.70 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.94 | 3.52 | 3.94 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 1.77 | 2.05 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.94 | 3.52 | 3.94 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 1.77 | 2.05 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.84 | 1.90 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cadiz to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Cadiz price at 2.06, Melbet lead the draw at 3.52 and Melbet have AD Ceuta FC longest at 3.94.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.98 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.96 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (Melbet) and no 2.06 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Cadiz or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.98
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cadiz, full-time Cadiz
30% chance3.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.42fair
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC odds movement
Cadiz win2.06-0.07
Draw3.52unchanged
AD Ceuta FC win3.94unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.98unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.96unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC prediction
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC prediction and best bet
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC prediction for the Segunda División on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Cadiz marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 27% and AD Ceuta FC at 25%.
Expected goals are 1.59 for Cadiz and 1.10 for AD Ceuta FC, a total of 2.69, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 55%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Cadiz or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 2 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC.
Form check: Cadiz have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 5 conceded, AD Ceuta FC 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 10.
How many goals in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC reads 75% for over 1.5, 50% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 50%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.98 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Cadiz score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for AD Ceuta FC; AD Ceuta FC score in 67% while Cadiz shut them out 33% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cadiz, full-time Cadiz is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
All markets, Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 27% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Cadiz to win48%2.06
Draw27%3.52
AD Ceuta FC to win25%3.94
Cadiz, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
AD Ceuta FC, draw no bet34%fair 2.91
Double chance
Cadiz or draw75%1.29
AD Ceuta FC or draw52%1.86
Cadiz or AD Ceuta FC (no draw)73%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 2.5 goals50%1.96
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.77
Not both teams to score46%2.06
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.93
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Cadiz to score80%fair 1.26
AD Ceuta FC to score67%fair 1.50
Cadiz clean sheet33%fair 3.00
AD Ceuta FC clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Cadiz to win to nil31%fair 3.27
AD Ceuta FC to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-010.8%
2-19.4%
2-08.6%
0-17.5%
0-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Cadiz / Cadiz29.7%
Draw / Cadiz16.4%
Draw / Draw15.1%
AD Ceuta FC / AD Ceuta FC14.8%
Draw / AD Ceuta FC9.9%
Questions about Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC
Who will win Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
The model gives Cadiz the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Cadiz find the net in 80% of simulated matches and AD Ceuta FC in 67%.
What time does Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC kick off?
Kick-off is 15:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.