Segunda División
LeganesHomeLLLLD
1:1Half-time 0:1
MallorcaAwayLDWDD253144
Leganes winDrawMallorca win
LeganesHomeLLLLDMallorcaAwayLDWDD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.28 0.95 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 44% Mallorca
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Leganes vs Mallorca betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.42 | 3.25 | 2.26 | 2.15 | 1.74 | 1.83 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mallorca to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Leganes vs Mallorca prediction: Leganes 3.42 (1xBet), draw 3.25 (1xBet), Mallorca 2.26 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.15 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.74 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (1xBet) and no 1.87 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Mallorca or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.74
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mallorca, full-time Mallorca
27% chance3.72fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair
Leganes vs Mallorca odds movement
Leganes win3.42-0.38
Draw3.25unchanged
Mallorca win2.26unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.15-0.17
Under 2.5 goals1.74unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Leganes vs Mallorca prediction
Leganes vs Mallorca prediction, who wins and at what price
The Leganes vs Mallorca prediction leans to Mallorca: 44% against 25% for Leganes, with 31% left for the draw, in the Segunda División on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Leganes are expected to score 0.95 and Mallorca 1.33, so the total line is 2.28 goals; over 2.5 lands at 40% and BTTS at 47%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Leganes vs Mallorca is mallorca or draw, a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Leganes have won 0 of their last 5 with 1 scored and 11 conceded, Mallorca 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Leganes vs Mallorca
Under 2.5 goals is rated 61% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Leganes scoring in 61% of runs and Mallorca in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Leganes and 39% for Mallorca.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.6%, followed by 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (10.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Mallorca, full-time Mallorca is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.
Every market for Leganes vs Mallorca
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 25% / 31% / 44% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Leganes to win25%3.42
Draw31%3.25
Mallorca to win44%2.26
Leganes, draw no bet36%fair 2.77
Mallorca, draw no bet64%fair 1.56
Double chance
Leganes or draw56%1.67
Mallorca or draw75%1.33
Leganes or Mallorca (no draw)69%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%2.15
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.08
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.35
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Under 2.5 goals61%1.74
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score47%1.83
Not both teams to score53%1.87
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.65
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40
Team goals
Leganes to score61%fair 1.63
Mallorca to score74%fair 1.36
Leganes clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Mallorca clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Leganes to win to nil23%fair 4.35
Mallorca to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-113.6%
1-112.9%
0-010.2%
1-09.7%
0-29%
1-28.6%
Half-time / full-time
Mallorca / Mallorca26.9%
Draw / Draw18.5%
Draw / Mallorca16.5%
Leganes / Leganes14.8%
Draw / Leganes10.6%
Questions about Leganes vs Mallorca
Who will win Leganes vs Mallorca?
The model gives Mallorca the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Leganes vs Mallorca?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Leganes vs Mallorca?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Leganes find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Mallorca in 74%.
What time does Leganes vs Mallorca kick off?
Leganes vs Mallorca starts at 14:15 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.