Real Sociedad II vs Almeria prediction

Real Sociedad II vs Almeria prediction, who wins and at what price

The Real Sociedad II vs Almeria prediction leans to Almeria: 50% against 26% for Real Sociedad II, with 25% left for the draw, in the Segunda División on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.17 in total, split 1.30 to Real Sociedad II and 1.87 to Almeria. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 63%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is real Sociedad II or Almeria (no draw) at 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Real Sociedad II vs Almeria.

Real Sociedad II average 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Almeria 2.4 and 1.2 across 5.

Goals forecast for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.49 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 63%. Real Sociedad II score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Almeria; Almeria score in 85% while Real Sociedad II shut them out 15% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.2%, then 1-2 at 9.5% and 0-1 at 7.9%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Almeria, full-time Almeria leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.