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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Matchday 9 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Rayo MajadahondaHomeLLWWL
2:1Half-time 1:0
Sant AndreuAwayLDLDW
452926
Rayo Majadahonda winDrawSant Andreu win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.32
1.35 : 0.97
Favourite
45%
Rayo Majadahonda
Over 2.5 goals
41%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.133.103.182.171.591.891.80Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Rayo Majadahonda to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Rayo Majadahonda price at 2.13, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.10 and 1xBet have Sant Andreu longest at 3.18.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.17 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.59 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.89 (1xBet) and no 1.80 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

74%

Our prediction

Rayo Majadahonda or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.35 : 0.97-6.9% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.59
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rayo Majadahonda, full-time Rayo Majadahonda
27% chance3.70fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.54fair

Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu odds movement

Rayo Majadahonda win2.13-0.11
Draw3.10-0.15
Sant Andreu win3.18-0.32
Over 2.5 goals2.17-0.13
Under 2.5 goals1.59-0.06

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu prediction

Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu prediction and best bet

The Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu prediction leans to Rayo Majadahonda: 45% against 26% for Sant Andreu, with 29% left for the draw, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Rayo Majadahonda are expected to score 1.35 and Sant Andreu 0.97, so the total line is 2.32 goals; over 2.5 lands at 41% and BTTS at 47%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Rayo Majadahonda or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu.

Over the last 5 matches Rayo Majadahonda stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Sant Andreu show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu

Under 2.5 goals is rated 59% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 41%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.59 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 47%. Rayo Majadahonda score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Sant Andreu; Sant Andreu score in 62% while Rayo Majadahonda shut them out 38% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu: 1-0 (13.3%), 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (9.8%).

With the top scoreline at 13.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Rayo Majadahonda, full-time Rayo Majadahonda is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.

Every market rated for Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu

The grid built from 1.35 and 0.97 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Rayo Majadahonda to win45%2.13
Draw29%3.10
Sant Andreu to win26%3.18
Rayo Majadahonda, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Sant Andreu, draw no bet37%fair 2.72

Double chance

Rayo Majadahonda or draw74%1.26
Sant Andreu or draw55%1.57
Rayo Majadahonda or Sant Andreu (no draw)71%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.17
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.63
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Under 2.5 goals59%1.59
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.26

BTTS

Both teams to score47%1.89
Not both teams to score53%1.80

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.57
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39

Team goals

Rayo Majadahonda to score74%fair 1.35
Sant Andreu to score62%fair 1.61
Rayo Majadahonda clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Sant Andreu clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Rayo Majadahonda to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Sant Andreu to win to nil24%fair 4.18

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.3%
1-112.9%
0-09.8%
0-19.5%
2-09%
2-18.7%

Half-time / full-time

Rayo Majadahonda / Rayo Majadahonda27%
Draw / Draw18.1%
Draw / Rayo Majadahonda16.5%
Sant Andreu / Sant Andreu14.9%
Draw / Sant Andreu10.6%

Questions about Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu

Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu?

The model gives Rayo Majadahonda the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Rayo Majadahonda find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Sant Andreu in 62%.

When do Rayo Majadahonda play Sant Andreu?

Rayo Majadahonda vs Sant Andreu starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Rayo Majadahonda v Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda or draw, 74%
1.26Bet