Alcorcon vs Ibiza prediction

Alcorcon vs Ibiza prediction, who wins and at what price

The Alcorcon vs Ibiza prediction leans to Alcorcon: 53% against 21% for Ibiza, with 26% left for the draw, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

Alcorcon are expected to score 1.58 and Ibiza 0.90, so the total line is 2.48 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is alcorcon to win at 53%. At 1.78 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 53% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Alcorcon vs Ibiza.

Alcorcon or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.16.

Over the last 5 matches Alcorcon stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Ibiza show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Alcorcon vs Ibiza? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; BC.Game pay 1.74.

Both teams to score is 49%: Alcorcon find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Ibiza in 59%. Alcorcon keep a clean sheet 41% of the time and Ibiza 21%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.2%, followed by 1-1 (11.9%) and 2-0 (10.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Alcorcon, full-time Alcorcon leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.