Teruel vs Águilas prediction

Teruel vs Águilas prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Teruel vs Águilas prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 33% home, 32% draw and 35% away in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Teruel are expected to score 1.03 and Águilas 1.07, so the total line is 2.10 goals; over 2.5 lands at 35% and BTTS at 44%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is teruel or Águilas (no draw) at 68%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 9 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Teruel vs Águilas.

A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 5 matches Teruel stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Águilas show 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Teruel vs Águilas

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 62%, over 2.5 at 35%, over 3.5 at 16%; under 2.5 is 65% and under 3.5 is 84%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 1xBet pay 1.44.

Both teams to score is 44%: Teruel find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Águilas in 66%. Teruel keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Águilas 36%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%, followed by 0-1 (13.1%) and 1-0 (12.6%).

With the top scoreline at 13.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Teruel vs Águilas; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 61%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.