Skip to the predictions
Live 18 UTC
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Matchday 10 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
HérculesHomeDWLLW
2:0Half-time 0:0
Rayo MajadahondaAwayLLWWL
493021
Hércules winDrawRayo Majadahonda win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.22
1.38 : 0.84
Favourite
49%
Hércules
Over 2.5 goals
38%
model chance
Both teams to score
44%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.853.004.322.271.542.041.68Bet
22Bet1.973.214.032.401.542.211.62Bet
BC.Game1.902.984.202.321.552.021.66Bet
Betwinner1.973.214.032.401.542.211.62Bet
Melbet1.973.214.032.401.542.211.62Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Hércules to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Hércules price at 1.97, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.21 and 1xBet have Rayo Majadahonda longest at 4.32.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.40 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.55 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.21 (22Bet) and no 1.68 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

79%

Our prediction

Hércules or draw
StrongWonExpected goals 1.38 : 0.84-4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.55
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.68Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
65% chance1.54fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.67fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hércules, full-time Hércules
30% chance3.38fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
63% chance1.58fairLost

Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda odds movement

Hércules win1.97-0.03
Draw3.21unchanged
Rayo Majadahonda win4.32-0.01
Over 2.5 goals2.40-0.06
Under 2.5 goals1.55-0.02

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction

Our Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction and pick

Hércules host Rayo Majadahonda on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, and the model has Hércules at 49%, the draw at 30% and Rayo Majadahonda at 21%: that is the Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.22 in total, split 1.38 to Hércules and 0.84 to Rayo Majadahonda. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 38% and both teams to score 44%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Hércules or draw is the main selection, rated 79%. At 1.22 with 22Bet the market prices it at 82%, against 79% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches Hércules stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Rayo Majadahonda show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda

On the goal lines Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda reads 65% for over 1.5, 38% for over 2.5 and 19% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 62%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.55 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Hércules scoring in 75% of runs and Rayo Majadahonda in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for Hércules and 25% for Rayo Majadahonda.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (10.9%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Hércules, full-time Hércules is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 63%.

All markets, Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda

The grid built from 1.38 and 0.84 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Hércules to win49%1.97
Draw30%3.21
Rayo Majadahonda to win21%4.32
Hércules, draw no bet70%fair 1.44
Rayo Majadahonda, draw no bet31%fair 3.28

Double chance

Hércules or draw79%1.22
Rayo Majadahonda or draw52%1.79
Hércules or Rayo Majadahonda (no draw)70%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals65%fair 1.54
Over 2.5 goals38%2.40
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 13.33
Under 1.5 goals35%fair 2.86
Under 2.5 goals62%1.55
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.23

BTTS

Both teams to score44%2.21
Not both teams to score56%1.68

Halves

First-half goal63%fair 1.58
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.79
Second-half goal71%fair 1.42

Team goals

Hércules to score75%fair 1.34
Rayo Majadahonda to score57%fair 1.76
Hércules clean sheet43%fair 2.31
Rayo Majadahonda clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Hércules to win to nil40%fair 2.52
Rayo Majadahonda to win to nil20%fair 5.10

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-015%
1-112.6%
0-010.9%
2-010.3%
0-19.1%
2-18.7%

Half-time / full-time

Hércules / Hércules29.6%
Draw / Draw18.8%
Draw / Hércules17.9%
Rayo Majadahonda / Rayo Majadahonda12.4%
Draw / Rayo Majadahonda9.3%

Questions about Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda

Hércules or Rayo Majadahonda: which side does the model back?

The model gives Hércules the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 38%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda?

The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Hércules find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Rayo Majadahonda in 57%.

When do Hércules play Rayo Majadahonda?

Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda starts at 19:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Hércules v Rayo MajadahondaHércules or draw, 79%
1.22Bet