Primera División RFEF - Group 2
AlgecirasHomeWWLWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Real Madrid IIAwayWDWLW382735
Algeciras winDrawReal Madrid II win
AlgecirasHomeWWLWWReal Madrid IIAwayWDWLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.62 1.33 : 1.29
- Favourite
- 38% Algeciras
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Algeciras vs Real Madrid II odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.20 | 2.41 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.71 | 2.00 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Algeciras to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Algeciras vs Real Madrid II are 2.56 for Algeciras at 1xBet, 3.20 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.41 for Real Madrid II at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 2.00 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Algeciras or Real Madrid II (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Algeciras, full-time Algeciras
22% chance4.52fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Algeciras vs Real Madrid II odds movement
Algeciras win2.56-0.14
Draw3.20-0.20
Real Madrid II win2.41-0.14
Over 2.5 goals1.89-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.78-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Algeciras vs Real Madrid II prediction
Algeciras vs Real Madrid II prediction and best bet
The Algeciras vs Real Madrid II prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Algeciras a 38% chance, Real Madrid II 36% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 2.62 in total, split 1.33 to Algeciras and 1.29 to Real Madrid II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Algeciras or Real Madrid II (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. At 1.24 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Algeciras vs Real Madrid II.
Over the last 5 matches Algeciras stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Real Madrid II show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Algeciras vs Real Madrid II goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.78 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Algeciras score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Real Madrid II; Real Madrid II score in 73% while Algeciras shut them out 28% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%, followed by 1-0 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Algeciras, full-time Algeciras is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market rated for Algeciras vs Real Madrid II
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Algeciras vs Real Madrid II, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Algeciras to win38%2.56
Draw27%3.20
Real Madrid II to win36%2.41
Algeciras, draw no bet52%fair 1.94
Real Madrid II, draw no bet49%fair 2.06
Double chance
Algeciras or draw64%1.42
Real Madrid II or draw62%1.37
Algeciras or Real Madrid II (no draw)73%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%1.89
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.73
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Under 2.5 goals52%1.78
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.71
Not both teams to score46%2.00
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.03
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Algeciras to score74%fair 1.36
Real Madrid II to score73%fair 1.38
Algeciras clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Real Madrid II clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Algeciras to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Real Madrid II to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-09.7%
0-19.4%
2-18.3%
1-28.1%
0-07.3%
Half-time / full-time
Algeciras / Algeciras22.1%
Real Madrid II / Real Madrid II20.9%
Draw / Draw16%
Draw / Algeciras13.5%
Draw / Real Madrid II12.9%
Questions about Algeciras vs Real Madrid II
Who will win Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
The model gives Algeciras the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Algeciras vs Real Madrid II both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Algeciras find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Real Madrid II in 73%.
When do Algeciras play Real Madrid II?
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.