LaLiga
Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
ValenciaHomeLDDLW
0:0Half-time 0:0
Athletic ClubAwayDLWWW302941
Valencia winDrawAthletic Club win
LaLiga
Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
ValenciaHomeLDDLWAthletic ClubAwayDLWWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.50 1.13 : 1.37
- Favourite
- 41% Athletic Club
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Valencia vs Athletic Club betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.34 | 3.43 | 2.35 | 2.15 | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.92 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Athletic Club to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Valencia vs Athletic Club are 3.34 for Valencia at 1xBet, 3.43 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.35 for Athletic Club at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.15 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.81 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (1xBet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Valencia or Athletic Club (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Athletic Club, full-time Athletic Club
25% chance4.00fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.48fair
Valencia vs Athletic Club odds movement
Valencia win3.34unchanged
Draw3.43unchanged
Athletic Club win2.35-0.01
Over 2.5 goals2.15unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.81unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Valencia vs Athletic Club prediction
Valencia vs Athletic Club prediction and best bet
Valencia vs Athletic Club prediction for the LaLiga on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Athletic Club marginally ahead at 41%, with the draw at 29% and Valencia at 30%.
Expected goals are 1.13 for Valencia and 1.37 for Athletic Club, a total of 2.50, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is valencia or Athletic Club (no draw) at 71%. At 1.38 with 1xBet the market prices it at 72%, against 71% from the model.
Valencia average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Athletic Club 2.6 and 1.0 across 5.
How many goals in Valencia vs Athletic Club? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 46%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.81.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Valencia scoring in 68% of runs and Athletic Club in 75%; clean sheets come at 25% for Valencia and 32% for Athletic Club.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 0-1 at 11.2% and 1-0 at 9.3%.
With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Valencia vs Athletic Club; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Athletic Club, full-time Athletic Club leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Valencia vs Athletic Club
The grid built from 1.13 and 1.37 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Valencia to win30%3.34
Draw29%3.43
Athletic Club to win41%2.35
Valencia, draw no bet42%fair 2.40
Athletic Club, draw no bet58%fair 1.71
Double chance
Valencia or draw59%1.69
Athletic Club or draw71%1.39
Valencia or Athletic Club (no draw)71%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals46%2.15
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.81
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.80
Not both teams to score48%1.92
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Valencia to score68%fair 1.48
Athletic Club to score75%fair 1.34
Valencia clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Athletic Club clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Valencia to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Athletic Club to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
0-111.2%
1-09.3%
1-28.7%
0-08.2%
0-27.7%
Half-time / full-time
Athletic Club / Athletic Club25%
Valencia / Valencia17.6%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Draw / Athletic Club15.1%
Draw / Valencia11.6%
Questions about Valencia vs Athletic Club
Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
The model gives Athletic Club the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Valencia vs Athletic Club correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Valencia vs Athletic Club?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Valencia find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Athletic Club in 75%.
When is Valencia vs Athletic Club and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.