Eibar vs Mallorca prediction

Eibar vs Mallorca prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Eibar vs Mallorca prediction for Saturday, 17 October 2026: 36% home, 32% draw and 32% away in the Segunda División. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 2.54 in total, split 1.31 to Eibar and 1.23 to Mallorca. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 55%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Eibar or Mallorca (no draw) is the main selection, rated 69%. At 1.38 with 1xBet the market prices it at 72%, against 69% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches Eibar stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Mallorca show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Eibar vs Mallorca

On the goal lines Eibar vs Mallorca reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.85 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 55%: Eibar find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Mallorca in 71%. Eibar keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Mallorca 27%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Eibar vs Mallorca: 1-1 (12.7%), 1-0 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.7%).

With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Eibar vs Mallorca; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Eibar, full-time Eibar leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.