GetafeHomeDLLWW
GetafeHomeDLLWW- Kick-off Mon 19 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.97 0.96 : 1.01
- Favourite
- 35% Rayo Vallecano
- Over 2.5 goals
- 31% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.13 | 3.09 | 2.68 | 2.72 | 1.47 | 2.16 | 1.63 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Getafe 3.13 (1xBet), draw 3.09 (1xBet), Rayo Vallecano 2.68 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.72 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.47 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.16 (1xBet) and no 1.63 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano odds movement
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and best bet
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction for the LaLiga on Monday, 19 October 2026: the model calls it close, Getafe 32%, draw 33%, Rayo Vallecano 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 0.96 for Getafe and 1.01 for Rayo Vallecano, a total of 1.97, which puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 42%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Rayo Vallecano or draw is the main selection, rated 68%. At 1.44 with 1xBet the market prices it at 69%, against 68% from the model.
The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Getafe have won 2 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 13 conceded, Rayo Vallecano 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 7.
A low-scoring Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano reads 59% for over 1.5, 31% for over 2.5 and 14% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 69%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.47 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 42%: Getafe find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Rayo Vallecano in 64%. Getafe keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Rayo Vallecano 38%.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 14.1%, then 0-0 at 13.9% and 1-1 at 13.5%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 59%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
Questions about Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano
Getafe or Rayo Vallecano: which side does the model back?
The model gives Rayo Vallecano the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Getafe find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Rayo Vallecano in 64%.
What time does Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Monday, 19 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.