Segunda División
Sporting GijonHomeWWLWW
2:1Half-time 1:0
AlbaceteAwayLLLWW482824
Sporting Gijon winDrawAlbacete win
Sporting GijonHomeWWLWWAlbaceteAwayLLLWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.69 1.59 : 1.10
- Favourite
- 48% Sporting Gijon
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.56 | 3.72 | 1.86 | 1.98 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sporting Gijon to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete are 2.03 for Sporting Gijon at 1xBet, 3.56 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.72 for Albacete at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.86 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.98 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Sporting Gijon or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
50% chance1.98
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sporting Gijon, full-time Sporting Gijon
30% chance3.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.42fair
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete odds movement
Sporting Gijon win2.03-0.02
Draw3.56unchanged
Albacete win3.72-0.12
Over 2.5 goals1.86-0.10
Under 2.5 goals1.98unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete prediction
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete prediction and best bet
The Sporting Gijon vs Albacete prediction leans to Sporting Gijon: 48% against 25% for Albacete, with 28% left for the draw, in the Segunda División on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.69 in total, split 1.59 to Sporting Gijon and 1.10 to Albacete. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete is sporting Gijon or draw, a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sporting Gijon vs Albacete.
Sporting Gijon average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Albacete 1.2 and 2.2 across 5.
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Sporting Gijon vs Albacete reads 75% for over 1.5, 50% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 50%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 1xBet pay 1.98.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Sporting Gijon score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Albacete; Albacete score in 67% while Sporting Gijon shut them out 33% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sporting Gijon, full-time Sporting Gijon leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 28% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win48%2.03
Draw28%3.56
Albacete to win25%3.72
Sporting Gijon, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Albacete, draw no bet34%fair 2.92
Double chance
Sporting Gijon or draw75%1.29
Albacete or draw52%1.82
Sporting Gijon or Albacete (no draw)73%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.86
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 2.5 goals50%1.98
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.67
Not both teams to score45%2.08
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.93
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Sporting Gijon to score80%fair 1.26
Albacete to score67%fair 1.50
Sporting Gijon clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Albacete clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Sporting Gijon to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Albacete to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-010.8%
2-19.4%
2-08.6%
0-17.5%
0-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Sporting Gijon / Sporting Gijon29.7%
Draw / Sporting Gijon16.4%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Albacete / Albacete14.8%
Draw / Albacete9.9%
Questions about Sporting Gijon vs Albacete
Who is favourite in Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
The model gives Sporting Gijon the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Sporting Gijon find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Albacete in 67%.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Albacete and where is the result shown?
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete starts at 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.