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Segunda División Round 12 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
AD Ceuta FCHomeLLLWL
0:2Half-time 0:1
Sporting GijonAwayWWLWW
382735
AD Ceuta FC winDrawSporting Gijon win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.72
1.39 : 1.33
Favourite
38%
AD Ceuta FC
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.403.542.911.881.961.652.11Bet
22Bet2.593.182.842.231.661.901.90Bet
BC.Game2.383.202.922.101.671.871.83Bet
Betwinner2.593.182.842.231.661.901.90Bet
Melbet2.593.182.842.231.661.901.90Bet
Stake2.413.252.952.041.721.821.89Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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AD Ceuta FC to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon are 2.59 for AD Ceuta FC at Melbet, 3.54 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.95 for Sporting Gijon at Stake.

The best-price payout across the three results is 99.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.23 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.96 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.90 (Melbet) and no 2.11 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

73%

Our prediction

AD Ceuta FC or Sporting Gijon (no draw)
LeanWonExpected goals 1.39 : 1.33-1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance2.23Lost
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.90Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AD Ceuta FC, full-time AD Ceuta FC
23% chance4.41fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fairWon

AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon odds movement

AD Ceuta FC win2.59unchanged
Draw3.54-0.01
Sporting Gijon win2.95-0.05
Over 2.5 goals2.23unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.96unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon prediction

Our AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon prediction for Sunday, 1 November 2026: 38% home, 27% draw and 35% away in the Segunda División. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

AD Ceuta FC are expected to score 1.39 and Sporting Gijon 1.33, so the total line is 2.72 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 56%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon is aD Ceuta FC or Sporting Gijon (no draw), a 73% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at Betwinner, which implies 74%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

Form check: AD Ceuta FC have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 10 conceded, Sporting Gijon 4 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 6.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon

On the goal lines AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Melbet pay 2.23.

The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from AD Ceuta FC scoring in 75% of runs and Sporting Gijon in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for AD Ceuta FC and 25% for Sporting Gijon.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon: 1-1 (12.2%), 1-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (8.8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time AD Ceuta FC, full-time AD Ceuta FC leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 38% / 27% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

AD Ceuta FC to win38%2.59
Draw27%3.54
Sporting Gijon to win35%2.95
AD Ceuta FC, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Sporting Gijon, draw no bet48%fair 2.08

Double chance

AD Ceuta FC or draw65%1.43
Sporting Gijon or draw62%1.60
AD Ceuta FC or Sporting Gijon (no draw)73%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%2.23
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 2.5 goals49%1.96
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.90
Not both teams to score44%2.11

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.89
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

AD Ceuta FC to score75%fair 1.33
Sporting Gijon to score74%fair 1.36
AD Ceuta FC clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Sporting Gijon clean sheet25%fair 4.02
AD Ceuta FC to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Sporting Gijon to win to nil23%fair 4.37

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
1-09.2%
0-18.8%
2-18.5%
1-28.1%
0-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

AD Ceuta FC / AD Ceuta FC22.7%
Sporting Gijon / Sporting Gijon20.9%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Draw / AD Ceuta FC13.5%
Draw / Sporting Gijon12.7%

Questions about AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon

AD Ceuta FC or Sporting Gijon: which side does the model back?

The model gives AD Ceuta FC the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. AD Ceuta FC find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Sporting Gijon in 74%.

When do AD Ceuta FC play Sporting Gijon?

AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon starts at 15:15 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, AD Ceuta FC v Sporting GijonAD Ceuta FC or Sporting Gijon (no draw), 73%
1.35Bet