Russia Cup
FakelHomeWWLDL
0:0Half-time 0:0Penalties 3:1
AkhmatAwayLLLDL302941
Fakel winDrawAkhmat win
FakelHomeWWLDLAkhmatAwayLLLDL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.54 1.16 : 1.38
- Favourite
- 41% Akhmat
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Fakel vs Akhmat odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.19 | 3.26 | 2.43 | 2.10 | 1.80 | 1.77 | 1.96 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.66 | 3.17 | 2.21 | 2.13 | 1.77 | 1.76 | 2.06 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.16 | 2.04 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.58 | 3.14 | 2.19 | 2.09 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 2.10 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.58 | 3.14 | 2.19 | 2.09 | 1.74 | 1.74 | 2.10 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Akhmat to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Fakel vs Akhmat prediction: Fakel 3.66 (22Bet), draw 3.26 (1xBet), Akhmat 2.43 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 100.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.13 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.80 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (BC.Game) and no 2.10 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
Fakel or Akhmat (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Akhmat, full-time Akhmat
25% chance4.03fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Fakel vs Akhmat prediction
Fakel vs Akhmat prediction, who wins and at what price
Akhmat are marginally ahead in the Fakel vs Akhmat prediction, rated 41% to win this Russia Cup match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Fakel sit at 30% and the draw at 29%.
Expected goals are 1.16 for Fakel and 1.38 for Akhmat, a total of 2.54, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Fakel or Akhmat (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.38 at 1xBet, which implies 72%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Over the last 5 matches Fakel stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Akhmat show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Fakel vs Akhmat? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.80.
Both teams to score is 53%: Fakel find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Akhmat in 75%. Fakel keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Akhmat 31%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.6%, then 0-1 at 10.9% and 1-0 at 9.1%.
With the top scoreline at 12.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Fakel vs Akhmat; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Akhmat, full-time Akhmat leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Fakel vs Akhmat
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 29% / 41% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Fakel to win30%3.66
Draw29%3.26
Akhmat to win41%2.43
Fakel, draw no bet43%fair 2.35
Akhmat, draw no bet57%fair 1.74
Double chance
Fakel or draw59%1.70
Akhmat or draw70%1.39
Fakel or Akhmat (no draw)71%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.98
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 2.5 goals54%1.80
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.78
Not both teams to score47%2.10
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.15
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Fakel to score69%fair 1.46
Akhmat to score75%fair 1.34
Fakel clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Akhmat clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Fakel to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Akhmat to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
0-110.9%
1-09.1%
1-28.7%
0-07.9%
0-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Akhmat / Akhmat24.8%
Fakel / Fakel18%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Draw / Akhmat14.9%
Draw / Fakel11.7%
Questions about Fakel vs Akhmat
Who will win Fakel vs Akhmat?
The model gives Akhmat the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Fakel vs Akhmat?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Fakel vs Akhmat?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Fakel find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Akhmat in 75%.
What time does Fakel vs Akhmat kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.