Russia Premier League
FakelHomeWWLDL
0:1Half-time 0:1
Rodina MoskvaAwayLDWLW462727
Fakel winDrawRodina Moskva win
FakelHomeWWLDLRodina MoskvaAwayLDWLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.60 1.50 : 1.10
- Favourite
- 46% Fakel
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Fakel vs Rodina Moskva betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.53 | 4.04 | 2.17 | 1.80 | 1.86 | 1.86 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Fakel to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Fakel vs Rodina Moskva prediction: Fakel 2.06 (1xBet), draw 3.53 (1xBet), Rodina Moskva 4.04 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.17 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (1xBet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Fakel or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fakel, full-time Fakel
28% chance3.57fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Fakel vs Rodina Moskva prediction
Our Fakel vs Rodina Moskva prediction and pick
Fakel vs Rodina Moskva prediction for the Russia Premier League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Fakel marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 27% and Rodina Moskva at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.60 in total, split 1.50 to Fakel and 1.10 to Rodina Moskva. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Fakel or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Fakel vs Rodina Moskva.
Form check: Fakel have won 2 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 3 conceded, Rodina Moskva 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 9.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 74%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.80 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 52%: Fakel find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Rodina Moskva in 67%. Fakel keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Rodina Moskva 22%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 1-0 at 11.1% and 2-1 at 9.2%.
With the top scoreline at 12.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Fakel, full-time Fakel is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market rated for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 46% / 27% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Fakel to win46%2.06
Draw27%3.53
Rodina Moskva to win27%4.04
Fakel, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Rodina Moskva, draw no bet37%fair 2.68
Double chance
Fakel or draw73%1.30
Rodina Moskva or draw55%1.88
Fakel or Rodina Moskva (no draw)73%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.17
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 2.5 goals52%1.80
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.86
Not both teams to score48%1.86
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.06
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Fakel to score78%fair 1.29
Rodina Moskva to score67%fair 1.50
Fakel clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Rodina Moskva clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Fakel to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Rodina Moskva to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-011.1%
2-19.2%
2-08.4%
0-18.2%
0-07.4%
Half-time / full-time
Fakel / Fakel28%
Draw / Fakel16%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Rodina Moskva / Rodina Moskva15.7%
Draw / Rodina Moskva10.5%
Questions about Fakel vs Rodina Moskva
Fakel or Rodina Moskva: which side does the model back?
The model gives Fakel the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Fakel vs Rodina Moskva?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Fakel find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Rodina Moskva in 67%.
What time does Fakel vs Rodina Moskva kick off?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.