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Live 25 UTC
Russia Cup Matchday 5 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
FC OrenburgHomeWDWWD
2:1Half-time 0:0
Rodina MoskvaAwayLDWLW
542422
FC Orenburg winDrawRodina Moskva win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
3.02
1.86 : 1.16
Favourite
54%
FC Orenburg
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.913.824.001.742.161.622.19Bet
22Bet1.793.924.161.622.301.562.43Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FC Orenburg to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best FC Orenburg price at 1.91, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.92 and 22Bet have Rodina Moskva longest at 4.16.

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.30 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (1xBet) and no 2.43 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

54%

Our prediction

FC Orenburg to win
StrongExpected goals 1.86 : 1.16+2.2% against the best price
Double chanceFC Orenburg or draw
77% chance1.27
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Orenburg, full-time FC Orenburg
34% chance2.96fair

FC Orenburg v Rodina Moskva head to head

0FC Orenburg wins
1Draw
0Rodina Moskva wins
  • 19 Oct 26Rodina Moskva2:2FC Orenburg

1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: FC Orenburg scored 2, Rodina Moskva scored 2.

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva prediction

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva prediction, who wins and at what price

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva prediction for the Russia Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes FC Orenburg a narrow favourite at 54%, with the draw at 24% and Rodina Moskva at 23%.

FC Orenburg are expected to score 1.86 and Rodina Moskva 1.16, so the total line is 3.02 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is fC Orenburg to win at 54%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.91. That price implies 52%, 1 points under the model figure.

For a safer line, fC Orenburg or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.27.

Over the last 5 matches FC Orenburg stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Rodina Moskva show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 64%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.74.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from FC Orenburg scoring in 84% of runs and Rodina Moskva in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for FC Orenburg and 16% for Rodina Moskva.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.5%, then 2-1 at 9.8% and 1-0 at 9.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Orenburg, full-time FC Orenburg leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva

The grid built from 1.86 and 1.16 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

FC Orenburg to win54%1.91
Draw24%3.92
Rodina Moskva to win23%4.16
FC Orenburg, draw no bet70%fair 1.42
Rodina Moskva, draw no bet30%fair 3.36

Double chance

FC Orenburg or draw77%1.27
Rodina Moskva or draw47%2.02
FC Orenburg or Rodina Moskva (no draw)76%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.10
Under 2.5 goals43%2.30
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.62
Not both teams to score41%2.43

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.54
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

FC Orenburg to score84%fair 1.18
Rodina Moskva to score69%fair 1.46
FC Orenburg clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Rodina Moskva clean sheet16%fair 6.41
FC Orenburg to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Rodina Moskva to win to nil14%fair 6.99

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.8%
1-09.1%
2-08.4%
1-26.1%
3-16.1%

Half-time / full-time

FC Orenburg / FC Orenburg33.8%
Draw / FC Orenburg16.8%
Rodina Moskva / Rodina Moskva13.3%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / Rodina Moskva8.6%

Questions about FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva

Who is favourite in FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva?

The model gives FC Orenburg the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. FC Orenburg find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Rodina Moskva in 69%.

What time does FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva kick off?

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva starts at 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, FC Orenburg v Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg to win, 54%
1.91Bet