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Live 7 UTC
Russia Cup Matchday 5 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
CSKA MoscowHomeWLWWD
3:1Half-time 2:1
LokomotivAwayDDLLL
562321
CSKA Moscow winDrawLokomotiv win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
3.00
1.90 : 1.10
Favourite
56%
CSKA Moscow
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.973.903.831.762.181.612.20Bet
22Bet1.733.944.481.602.341.552.45Bet
BC.Game1.733.904.401.572.281.562.26Bet
Betwinner1.763.904.381.602.341.552.45Bet
Melbet1.733.944.481.602.341.552.45Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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CSKA Moscow to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv are 1.97 for CSKA Moscow at 1xBet, 3.94 for the draw at Melbet and 4.48 for Lokomotiv at Melbet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 101.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.34 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

56%

Our prediction

CSKA Moscow to win
StrongExpected goals 1.90 : 1.10+9.9% against the best price
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw
79% chance1.31
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CSKA Moscow, full-time CSKA Moscow
36% chance2.82fair

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv prediction

Our CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv prediction and pick

CSKA Moscow host Lokomotiv on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the Russia Cup, and the model has CSKA Moscow at 56%, the draw at 23% and Lokomotiv at 21%: that is the CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.00 in total, split 1.90 to CSKA Moscow and 1.10 to Lokomotiv. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 60%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

CSKA Moscow to win is the main selection, rated 56%. At 1.97 with 1xBet the market prices it at 51%, against 56% from the model.

A 9.9% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

CSKA Moscow or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.31.

CSKA Moscow average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Lokomotiv 1.0 and 2.6 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 60%. CSKA Moscow score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Lokomotiv; Lokomotiv score in 67% while CSKA Moscow shut them out 33% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%, followed by 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.5%).

With the top scoreline at 10.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time CSKA Moscow, full-time CSKA Moscow is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv

The grid built from 1.90 and 1.10 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

CSKA Moscow to win56%1.97
Draw23%3.94
Lokomotiv to win21%4.48
CSKA Moscow, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Lokomotiv, draw no bet27%fair 3.68

Double chance

CSKA Moscow or draw79%1.31
Lokomotiv or draw44%2.10
CSKA Moscow or Lokomotiv (no draw)77%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.34
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.61
Not both teams to score40%2.45

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

CSKA Moscow to score85%fair 1.18
Lokomotiv to score67%fair 1.50
CSKA Moscow clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Lokomotiv clean sheet15%fair 6.67
CSKA Moscow to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Lokomotiv to win to nil14%fair 7.25

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.9%
1-09.5%
2-09%
3-16.3%
1-25.7%

Half-time / full-time

CSKA Moscow / CSKA Moscow35.5%
Draw / CSKA Moscow17.4%
Draw / Draw12.7%
Lokomotiv / Lokomotiv12.2%
Draw / Lokomotiv8%

Questions about CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv

CSKA Moscow or Lokomotiv: which side does the model back?

The model gives CSKA Moscow the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. CSKA Moscow find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Lokomotiv in 67%.

When is CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, CSKA Moscow v LokomotivCSKA Moscow to win, 56%
1.97Bet