Russia Premier League
AkhmatHomeLLLDL
0:1Half-time 0:1
FC OrenburgAwayWDWWD472726
Akhmat winDrawFC Orenburg win
AkhmatHomeLLLDLFC OrenburgAwayWDWWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.71 1.57 : 1.14
- Favourite
- 47% Akhmat
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Akhmat vs FC Orenburg odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.69 | 3.90 | 1.96 | 1.99 | 1.71 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Akhmat to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Akhmat price at 2.05, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.69 and 1xBet have FC Orenburg longest at 3.90.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.96 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.99 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 2.04 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Akhmat or FC Orenburg (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.96
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Akhmat, full-time Akhmat
29% chance3.48fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Akhmat vs FC Orenburg prediction
Akhmat vs FC Orenburg prediction, who wins and at what price
The Akhmat vs FC Orenburg prediction leans to Akhmat: 47% against 27% for FC Orenburg, with 27% left for the draw, in the Russia Premier League on Friday, 23 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.71 in total, split 1.57 to Akhmat and 1.14 to FC Orenburg. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Akhmat or FC Orenburg (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.34 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Akhmat average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, FC Orenburg 1.8 and 0.8 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Akhmat vs FC Orenburg
Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 51%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.96 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Akhmat scoring in 79% of runs and FC Orenburg in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Akhmat and 21% for FC Orenburg.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%, followed by 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Akhmat, full-time Akhmat is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market rated for Akhmat vs FC Orenburg
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Akhmat vs FC Orenburg, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Akhmat to win47%2.05
Draw27%3.69
FC Orenburg to win27%3.90
Akhmat, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
FC Orenburg, draw no bet37%fair 2.74
Double chance
Akhmat or draw73%1.32
FC Orenburg or draw53%1.90
Akhmat or FC Orenburg (no draw)74%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.47
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Under 2.5 goals50%1.99
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.71
Not both teams to score45%2.04
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.91
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Akhmat to score79%fair 1.26
FC Orenburg to score68%fair 1.47
Akhmat clean sheet32%fair 3.13
FC Orenburg clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Akhmat to win to nil29%fair 3.40
FC Orenburg to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-010.4%
2-19.3%
2-08.2%
0-17.6%
1-26.8%
Half-time / full-time
Akhmat / Akhmat28.7%
Draw / Akhmat16%
FC Orenburg / FC Orenburg15.7%
Draw / Draw15%
Draw / FC Orenburg10.2%
Questions about Akhmat vs FC Orenburg
Akhmat or FC Orenburg: which side does the model back?
The model gives Akhmat the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Akhmat vs FC Orenburg?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Akhmat vs FC Orenburg?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Akhmat find the net in 79% of simulated matches and FC Orenburg in 68%.
When do Akhmat play FC Orenburg?
Akhmat vs FC Orenburg starts at 16:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.