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Russia Premier League Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
Krylia SovetovHomeDLLWW
1:2Half-time 1:1
FakelAwayWWLDL
492724
Krylia Sovetov winDrawFakel win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.52
1.53 : 0.99
Favourite
49%
Krylia Sovetov
Over 2.5 goals
46%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.043.564.082.131.831.841.88Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Krylia Sovetov to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel are 2.04 for Krylia Sovetov at 1xBet, 3.56 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.08 for Fakel at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.13 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (1xBet) and no 1.88 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

76%

Our prediction

Krylia Sovetov or draw
StrongExpected goals 1.53 : 0.99-0.8% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Krylia Sovetov, full-time Krylia Sovetov
30% chance3.30fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair

Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel prediction

Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel prediction and best bet

The Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel prediction leans to Krylia Sovetov: 49% against 24% for Fakel, with 27% left for the draw, in the Russia Premier League on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.52 in total, split 1.53 to Krylia Sovetov and 0.99 to Fakel. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Krylia Sovetov or draw is the main selection, rated 76%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 76% from the model.

Krylia Sovetov average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Fakel 0.8 and 0.6 across 5.

How many goals in Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 54% and under 3.5 is 75%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.83.

The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Krylia Sovetov scoring in 78% of runs and Fakel in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Krylia Sovetov and 22% for Fakel.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.3%, followed by 1-1 (12.2%) and 2-0 (9.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Krylia Sovetov, full-time Krylia Sovetov is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.

Every market for Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel

The grid built from 1.53 and 0.99 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Krylia Sovetov to win49%2.04
Draw27%3.56
Fakel to win24%4.08
Krylia Sovetov, draw no bet67%fair 1.48
Fakel, draw no bet33%fair 3.07

Double chance

Krylia Sovetov or draw76%1.30
Fakel or draw51%1.90
Krylia Sovetov or Fakel (no draw)73%1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals54%1.83
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.84
Not both teams to score50%1.88

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

Krylia Sovetov to score78%fair 1.28
Fakel to score63%fair 1.59
Krylia Sovetov clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Fakel clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Krylia Sovetov to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Fakel to win to nil20%fair 5.03

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012.3%
1-112.2%
2-09.4%
2-19.3%
0-08%
0-18%

Half-time / full-time

Krylia Sovetov / Krylia Sovetov30.3%
Draw / Krylia Sovetov17.1%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Fakel / Fakel13.6%
Draw / Fakel9.5%

Questions about Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel

Who is favourite in Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel?

The model gives Krylia Sovetov the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Krylia Sovetov find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Fakel in 63%.

When is Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Krylia Sovetov v FakelKrylia Sovetov or draw, 76%
1.30Bet