Skip to the predictions
Live 21 UTC
Russia Cup Matchday 5 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
Spartak MoscowHomeWWLWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
RubinAwayLLLLW
711910
Spartak Moscow winDrawRubin win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.90
2.16 : 0.74
Favourite
71%
Spartak Moscow
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.394.848.951.802.082.041.71Bet
22Bet1.374.908.301.662.231.901.90Bet
BC.Game1.374.708.001.632.161.851.85Bet
Betwinner1.374.908.301.662.231.901.90Bet
Melbet1.374.908.301.662.231.901.90Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Spartak Moscow to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin are 1.39 for Spartak Moscow at 1xBet, 4.90 for the draw at Melbet and 8.95 for Rubin at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.80 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.23 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.04 (1xBet) and no 1.90 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

71%

Our prediction

Spartak Moscow to win
BankerExpected goals 2.16 : 0.74-1.7% against the best price
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw
89% chance1.08
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.80
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.90
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Spartak Moscow, full-time Spartak Moscow
47% chance2.14fair

Spartak Moscow v Rubin head to head

1Spartak Moscow wins
0Draws
0Rubin wins
  • 18 Oct 26Spartak Moscow4:0Rubin

1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Spartak Moscow scored 4, Rubin scored 0.

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin prediction

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin prediction and best bet

Spartak Moscow are the clear favourite in the Spartak Moscow vs Rubin prediction, rated 71% to win this Russia Cup match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Rubin sit at 11% and the draw at 19%.

Expected goals are 2.16 for Spartak Moscow and 0.74 for Rubin, a total of 2.90, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin is spartak Moscow to win, a 71% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.39. That price implies 72%, 1 points over the model figure.

Spartak Moscow or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.08.

With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Spartak Moscow have won 4 of their last 5 with 13 scored and 4 conceded, Rubin 1 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 11.

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 54%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.80 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 49%. Spartak Moscow score in 89% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Rubin; Rubin score in 52% while Spartak Moscow shut them out 48% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 12.8%, followed by 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Spartak Moscow, full-time Spartak Moscow leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

The grid built from 2.16 and 0.74 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Spartak Moscow to win71%1.39
Draw19%4.90
Rubin to win11%8.95
Spartak Moscow, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Rubin, draw no bet13%fair 7.52

Double chance

Spartak Moscow or draw89%1.08
Rubin or draw29%3.14
Spartak Moscow or Rubin (no draw)82%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.03
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.95
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Under 2.5 goals46%2.23
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score49%2.04
Not both teams to score51%1.90

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.67
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

Spartak Moscow to score89%fair 1.13
Rubin to score52%fair 1.91
Spartak Moscow clean sheet48%fair 2.10
Rubin clean sheet12%fair 8.70
Spartak Moscow to win to nil44%fair 2.28
Rubin to win to nil10%fair 10.10

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

2-012.8%
1-011.9%
2-19.5%
3-09.2%
1-18.8%
3-16.8%

Half-time / full-time

Spartak Moscow / Spartak Moscow46.7%
Draw / Spartak Moscow20.5%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Rubin / Rubin6.1%
Draw / Rubin4.6%

Questions about Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

Spartak Moscow or Rubin: which side does the model back?

The model gives Spartak Moscow the best chance at 71%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Spartak Moscow find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Rubin in 52%.

When is Spartak Moscow vs Rubin and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Spartak Moscow v RubinSpartak Moscow to win, 71%
1.39Bet