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Live 30 UTC
Russia Cup Matchday 5 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
BaltikaHomeWDDLW
2:3Half-time 0:1
ZenitAwayWWWWW
212752
Baltika winDrawZenit win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.38
0.87 : 1.51
Favourite
52%
Zenit
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
46%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Baltika vs Zenit odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.803.591.862.231.731.991.75Bet
22Bet4.283.321.932.141.711.881.93Bet
BC.Game4.103.301.942.101.671.951.76Bet
Betwinner4.343.321.912.151.701.931.87Bet
Melbet4.323.321.922.131.721.901.90Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Zenit to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Baltika vs Zenit prediction: Baltika 4.80 (1xBet), draw 3.59 (1xBet), Zenit 1.94 (BC.Game).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 99.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.23 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.73 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.99 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

52%

Our prediction

Zenit to win
LeanExpected goals 0.87 : 1.51+0.7% against the best price
Double chanceZenit or draw
79% chance1.23
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.73
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.93
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.14fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Zenit, full-time Zenit
32% chance3.14fair

Baltika v Zenit head to head

0Baltika wins
0Draws
1Zenit wins
  • 16 Sep 26Baltika2:3Zenit

1 meeting since coverage began, 5 goals in total: Baltika scored 2, Zenit scored 3.

Baltika vs Zenit prediction

Baltika vs Zenit prediction and best bet

The Baltika vs Zenit prediction leans to Zenit: 52% against 21% for Baltika, with 27% left for the draw, in the Russia Cup on Thursday, 29 October 2026.

Baltika are expected to score 0.87 and Zenit 1.51, so the total line is 2.38 goals; over 2.5 lands at 42% and BTTS at 46%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Zenit to win is the main selection, rated 52%. At 1.94 with BC.Game the market prices it at 52%, against 52% from the model.

Zenit or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.23.

Form check: Baltika have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 5 conceded, Zenit 5 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 7.

A low-scoring Baltika vs Zenit? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 58% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 42%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.73.

The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from Baltika scoring in 58% of runs and Zenit in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for Baltika and 42% for Zenit.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 14%, then 1-1 at 12.2% and 0-2 at 10.6%.

With the top scoreline at 14%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Baltika vs Zenit; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Zenit, full-time Zenit leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Baltika vs Zenit

The grid built from 0.87 and 1.51 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Baltika to win21%4.80
Draw27%3.59
Zenit to win52%1.94
Baltika, draw no bet29%fair 3.47
Zenit, draw no bet71%fair 1.40

Double chance

Baltika or draw48%2.05
Zenit or draw79%1.23
Baltika or Zenit (no draw)73%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.23
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.75
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 2.5 goals58%1.73
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score46%1.99
Not both teams to score54%1.93

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.45
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

Baltika to score58%fair 1.72
Zenit to score78%fair 1.28
Baltika clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Zenit clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Baltika to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Zenit to win to nil39%fair 2.60

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-114%
1-112.2%
0-210.6%
0-09.3%
1-29.2%
1-08.1%

Half-time / full-time

Zenit / Zenit31.8%
Draw / Zenit18.2%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Baltika / Baltika11.8%
Draw / Baltika8.7%

Questions about Baltika vs Zenit

Baltika or Zenit: which side does the model back?

The model gives Zenit the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Baltika vs Zenit?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.

Baltika vs Zenit both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Baltika find the net in 58% of simulated matches and Zenit in 78%.

What time does Baltika vs Zenit kick off?

Kick-off is 18:45 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Baltika v ZenitZenit to win, 52%
1.94Bet