Russia Premier League
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3:2Half-time 0:1
AkhmatAwayLLLDL721810
Zenit winDrawAkhmat win
ZenitHomeWWWWWAkhmatAwayLLLDL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.98 2.25 : 0.73
- Favourite
- 72% Zenit
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Zenit vs Akhmat
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.40 | 5.18 | 9.40 | 1.76 | 2.24 | 1.99 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Zenit to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Zenit vs Akhmat prediction: Zenit 1.40 (1xBet), draw 5.18 (1xBet), Akhmat 9.40 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.24 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.99 (1xBet) and no 1.74 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Zenit to win
Double chanceZenit or draw
89% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.76
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Zenit, full-time Zenit
48% chance2.07fair
Zenit vs Akhmat prediction
Our Zenit vs Akhmat prediction and pick
Zenit vs Akhmat prediction for the Russia Premier League on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Zenit the clear favourite at 72%, with the draw at 18% and Akhmat at 11%.
Zenit are expected to score 2.25 and Akhmat 0.73, so the total line is 2.98 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 46%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is zenit to win at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.40 at 1xBet, which implies 71%, so the model sits 0 points above the market.
Zenit or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.10.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Zenit stand at 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Akhmat show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Zenit vs Akhmat
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.76.
BTTS yes stands at 46%. Zenit score in 90% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Akhmat; Akhmat score in 52% while Zenit shut them out 48% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Zenit vs Akhmat: 2-0 (12.9%), 1-0 (11.4%) and 3-0 (9.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Zenit, full-time Zenit leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Zenit vs Akhmat
The grid built from 2.25 and 0.73 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Zenit to win72%1.40
Draw18%5.18
Akhmat to win11%9.40
Zenit, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Akhmat, draw no bet13%fair 7.75
Double chance
Zenit or draw89%1.10
Akhmat or draw28%3.34
Zenit or Akhmat (no draw)82%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.24
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score46%1.99
Not both teams to score54%1.74
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Zenit to score90%fair 1.12
Akhmat to score52%fair 1.93
Zenit clean sheet48%fair 2.07
Akhmat clean sheet11%fair 9.52
Zenit to win to nil44%fair 2.26
Akhmat to win to nil10%fair 10.31
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-012.9%
1-011.4%
3-09.6%
2-19.4%
1-18.3%
3-17%
Half-time / full-time
Zenit / Zenit48.4%
Draw / Zenit20.5%
Draw / Draw10.8%
Akhmat / Akhmat5.6%
Draw / Akhmat4.3%
Questions about Zenit vs Akhmat
Who will win Zenit vs Akhmat?
The model gives Zenit the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Zenit vs Akhmat?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Zenit vs Akhmat both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Zenit find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Akhmat in 52%.
When do Zenit play Akhmat?
Zenit vs Akhmat starts at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.