Taça de Portugal
ParedesHomeWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
FamalicaoAwayWLLWL102070
Paredes winDrawFamalicao win
ParedesHomeWWFamalicaoAwayWLLWL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.97 0.77 : 2.20
- Favourite
- 70% Famalicao
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Paredes vs Famalicao betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 7.18 | 4.33 | 1.41 | 1.67 | 2.11 | 1.85 | 1.86 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Famalicao to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Paredes price at 7.18, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.33 and 1xBet have Famalicao longest at 1.41.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.67 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.11 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (1xBet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
70%
Our prediction
Famalicao to win
Double chanceFamalicao or draw
90% chance1.06
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Famalicao, full-time Famalicao
47% chance2.14fair
Paredes vs Famalicao prediction
Paredes vs Famalicao prediction, who wins and at what price
Paredes vs Famalicao prediction for the Taça de Portugal on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Famalicao the clear favourite at 70%, with the draw at 20% and Paredes at 10%.
The goal expectancy is 2.97 in total, split 0.77 to Paredes and 2.20 to Famalicao. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 50%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Paredes vs Famalicao is famalicao to win, a 70% chance. At 1.41 with 1xBet the market prices it at 71%, against 70% from the model.
Famalicao or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.06.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
How many goals in Paredes vs Famalicao? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Paredes vs Famalicao reads 80% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.67.
The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Paredes scoring in 54% of runs and Famalicao in 89%; clean sheets come at 11% for Paredes and 46% for Famalicao.
The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 12.4%, followed by 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.6%).
With the top scoreline at 12.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Paredes vs Famalicao; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Famalicao, full-time Famalicao is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
All markets, Paredes vs Famalicao
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Paredes vs Famalicao, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Paredes to win10%7.18
Draw20%4.33
Famalicao to win70%1.41
Paredes, draw no bet13%fair 7.75
Famalicao, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Double chance
Paredes or draw30%2.70
Famalicao or draw90%1.06
Paredes or Famalicao (no draw)80%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.67
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.56
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 2.5 goals44%2.11
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.85
Not both teams to score50%1.86
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.59
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Paredes to score54%fair 1.86
Famalicao to score89%fair 1.12
Paredes clean sheet11%fair 9.01
Famalicao clean sheet46%fair 2.16
Paredes to win to nil10%fair 10.53
Famalicao to win to nil43%fair 2.35
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-212.4%
0-111.3%
1-29.6%
0-39.1%
1-18.7%
1-37%
Half-time / full-time
Famalicao / Famalicao46.8%
Draw / Famalicao20.3%
Draw / Draw11.1%
Paredes / Paredes6.2%
Draw / Paredes4.7%
Questions about Paredes vs Famalicao
Paredes or Famalicao: which side does the model back?
The model gives Famalicao the best chance at 70%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Paredes vs Famalicao?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Paredes vs Famalicao?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Paredes find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Famalicao in 89%.
When do Paredes play Famalicao?
Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.