Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction

Our Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction and pick

Benfica are the clear favourite in the Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction, rated 73% to win this Europa League match on Thursday, 22 October 2026. Omonia Nicosia sit at 11% and the draw at 16%.

Expected goals are 0.83 for Omonia Nicosia and 2.47 for Benfica, a total of 3.30, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Benfica to win is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

For a safer line, benfica or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.09.

With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Omonia Nicosia have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 8 conceded, Benfica 4 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 6.

Goals forecast for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 58%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.51 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Omonia Nicosia scoring in 56% of runs and Benfica in 92%; clean sheets come at 9% for Omonia Nicosia and 44% for Benfica.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 11.3%, then 1-2 at 9.3% and 0-3 at 9.3%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Benfica, full-time Benfica is the top combination at 50%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.