I Liga
Arka GdyniaHomeLLLWL
3:1Half-time 3:0
NiecieczaAwayDWLWD432532
Arka Gdynia winDrawNieciecza win
Arka GdyniaHomeLLLWLNiecieczaAwayDWLWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.02 1.63 : 1.39
- Favourite
- 43% Arka Gdynia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.48 | 2.90 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.50 | 2.38 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Arka Gdynia to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Arka Gdynia price at 2.11, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.48 and 1xBet have Nieciecza longest at 2.90.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.59 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.17 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.38 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Arka Gdynia or Nieciecza (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.59
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Arka Gdynia, full-time Arka Gdynia
26% chance3.82fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza prediction
Our Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza prediction and pick
Arka Gdynia are marginally ahead in the Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza prediction, rated 43% to win this I Liga match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Nieciecza sit at 33% and the draw at 25%.
Arka Gdynia are expected to score 1.63 and Nieciecza 1.39, so the total line is 3.02 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 62%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Arka Gdynia or Nieciecza (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. At 1.22 with 1xBet the market prices it at 82%, against 75% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Arka Gdynia have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 9 conceded, Nieciecza 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.
Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.59.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. Arka Gdynia score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Nieciecza; Nieciecza score in 75% while Arka Gdynia shut them out 25% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.1%, then 2-1 at 9% and 1-0 at 8%.
With the top scoreline at 11.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Arka Gdynia, full-time Arka Gdynia leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 25% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win43%2.11
Draw25%3.48
Nieciecza to win33%2.90
Arka Gdynia, draw no bet57%fair 1.76
Nieciecza, draw no bet43%fair 2.32
Double chance
Arka Gdynia or draw68%1.31
Nieciecza or draw57%1.58
Arka Gdynia or Nieciecza (no draw)75%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.59
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.10
Under 2.5 goals42%2.17
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.50
Not both teams to score39%2.38
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.54
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Arka Gdynia to score80%fair 1.24
Nieciecza to score75%fair 1.33
Arka Gdynia clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Nieciecza clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Arka Gdynia to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Nieciecza to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-19%
1-08%
1-27.7%
0-16.8%
2-06.5%
Half-time / full-time
Arka Gdynia / Arka Gdynia26.2%
Nieciecza / Nieciecza19.1%
Draw / Arka Gdynia14.2%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Nieciecza11.3%
Questions about Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
The model gives Arka Gdynia the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Arka Gdynia find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Nieciecza in 75%.
What time does Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza kick off?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.