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Live 21 UTC
I Liga Round 12 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Polonia WarszawaHomeWWWDW
1:1Half-time 1:1
Miedz LegnicaAwayLLWDD
502525
Polonia Warszawa winDrawMiedz Legnica win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.12
1.84 : 1.28
Favourite
50%
Polonia Warszawa
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.823.553.631.502.281.482.45Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Polonia Warszawa to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Polonia Warszawa price at 1.82, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.55 and 1xBet have Miedz Legnica longest at 3.63.

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.50 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.28 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

75%

Our prediction

Polonia Warszawa or Miedz Legnica (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.84 : 1.28-8.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.50
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Polonia Warszawa, full-time Polonia Warszawa
32% chance3.16fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair

Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica prediction

Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica prediction, who wins and at what price

Polonia Warszawa host Miedz Legnica on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the I Liga, and the model has Polonia Warszawa at 50%, the draw at 25% and Miedz Legnica at 26%: that is the Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.84 for Polonia Warszawa and 1.28 for Miedz Legnica, a total of 3.12, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Polonia Warszawa or Miedz Legnica (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. At 1.21 with 1xBet the market prices it at 83%, against 75% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Polonia Warszawa stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Miedz Legnica show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.50 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. Polonia Warszawa score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Miedz Legnica; Miedz Legnica score in 72% while Polonia Warszawa shut them out 28% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.4%, then 2-1 at 9.6% and 1-0 at 8.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Polonia Warszawa, full-time Polonia Warszawa leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 25% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Polonia Warszawa to win50%1.82
Draw25%3.55
Miedz Legnica to win26%3.63
Polonia Warszawa, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Miedz Legnica, draw no bet34%fair 2.95

Double chance

Polonia Warszawa or draw75%1.20
Miedz Legnica or draw50%1.79
Polonia Warszawa or Miedz Legnica (no draw)75%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.50
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.63
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.49
Under 2.5 goals40%2.28
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.48
Not both teams to score38%2.45

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.44
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Polonia Warszawa to score84%fair 1.19
Miedz Legnica to score72%fair 1.39
Polonia Warszawa clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Miedz Legnica clean sheet16%fair 6.29
Polonia Warszawa to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Miedz Legnica to win to nil15%fair 6.85

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.6%
1-08.1%
2-07.5%
1-26.7%
2-26.1%

Half-time / full-time

Polonia Warszawa / Polonia Warszawa31.6%
Draw / Polonia Warszawa15.8%
Miedz Legnica / Miedz Legnica15.3%
Draw / Draw12.6%
Draw / Miedz Legnica9.4%

Questions about Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica

Who is favourite in Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?

The model gives Polonia Warszawa the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Polonia Warszawa find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Miedz Legnica in 72%.

When do Polonia Warszawa play Miedz Legnica?

Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Polonia Warszawa v Miedz LegnicaPolonia Warszawa or Miedz Legnica (no draw), 75%
1.21Bet