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I Liga Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Unia SkierniewiceHomeDDLLL
1:2Half-time 0:0
Polonia BytomAwayDWWWL
372439
Unia Skierniewice winDrawPolonia Bytom win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.15
1.56 : 1.59
Favourite
39%
Polonia Bytom
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
63%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.423.482.391.582.181.492.42Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Polonia Bytom to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom prediction: Unia Skierniewice 2.42 (1xBet), draw 3.48 (1xBet), Polonia Bytom 2.39 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.58 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.18 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.49 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

76%

Our prediction

Unia Skierniewice or Polonia Bytom (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.56 : 1.59-9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.49
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Polonia Bytom, full-time Polonia Bytom
23% chance4.29fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair

Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom prediction

Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 37% home, 24% draw and 39% away in the I Liga. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 3.15 in total, split 1.56 to Unia Skierniewice and 1.59 to Polonia Bytom. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 63%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom is unia Skierniewice or Polonia Bytom (no draw), a 76% chance. At 1.20 with 1xBet the market prices it at 83%, against 76% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Unia Skierniewice average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Polonia Bytom 1.2 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.58.

BTTS yes stands at 63%. Unia Skierniewice score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Polonia Bytom; Polonia Bytom score in 80% while Unia Skierniewice shut them out 20% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%, followed by 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Polonia Bytom, full-time Polonia Bytom is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market for Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Unia Skierniewice to win37%2.42
Draw24%3.48
Polonia Bytom to win39%2.39
Unia Skierniewice, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Polonia Bytom, draw no bet51%fair 1.96

Double chance

Unia Skierniewice or draw61%1.43
Polonia Bytom or draw63%1.42
Unia Skierniewice or Polonia Bytom (no draw)76%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.58
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals39%2.18
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63

BTTS

Both teams to score63%1.49
Not both teams to score37%2.42

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Unia Skierniewice to score79%fair 1.27
Polonia Bytom to score80%fair 1.26
Unia Skierniewice clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Polonia Bytom clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Unia Skierniewice to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Polonia Bytom to win to nil19%fair 5.18

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%
0-16.8%
1-06.7%
2-26.6%

Half-time / full-time

Polonia Bytom / Polonia Bytom23.3%
Unia Skierniewice / Unia Skierniewice22.4%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / Polonia Bytom12.8%
Draw / Unia Skierniewice12.4%

Questions about Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom?

The model gives Polonia Bytom the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Unia Skierniewice find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Polonia Bytom in 80%.

What time does Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom kick off?

Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Unia Skierniewice v Polonia BytomUnia Skierniewice or Polonia Bytom (no draw), 76%
1.20Bet