I Liga
Stal MielecHomeLWLDW
0:0Half-time 0:0
Chrobry GłogówAwayLLLDW402733
Stal Mielec winDrawChrobry Głogów win
Stal MielecHomeLWLDWChrobry GłogówAwayLLLDW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.85 1.50 : 1.35
- Favourite
- 40% Stal Mielec
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.32 | 2.80 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.56 | 2.25 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Stal Mielec to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów are 2.23 for Stal Mielec at 1xBet, 3.32 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.80 for Chrobry Głogów at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.68 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.02 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.25 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Stal Mielec or Chrobry Głogów (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Stal Mielec, full-time Stal Mielec
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.38fair
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów prediction
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów prediction and best bet
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów prediction for the I Liga on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Stal Mielec 40%, draw 27%, Chrobry Głogów 33%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.50 for Stal Mielec and 1.35 for Chrobry Głogów, a total of 2.85, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów is stal Mielec or Chrobry Głogów (no draw), a 73% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 7 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Stal Mielec have won 2 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 11 conceded, Chrobry Głogów 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 9.
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.68 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Stal Mielec scoring in 78% of runs and Chrobry Głogów in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Stal Mielec and 22% for Chrobry Głogów.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów: 1-1 (11.7%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Stal Mielec, full-time Stal Mielec leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 40% / 27% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Stal Mielec to win40%2.23
Draw27%3.32
Chrobry Głogów to win33%2.80
Stal Mielec, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Chrobry Głogów, draw no bet46%fair 2.20
Double chance
Stal Mielec or draw67%1.33
Chrobry Głogów or draw60%1.52
Stal Mielec or Chrobry Głogów (no draw)73%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.68
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.25
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Under 2.5 goals46%2.02
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.56
Not both teams to score41%2.25
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.72
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
Stal Mielec to score78%fair 1.29
Chrobry Głogów to score74%fair 1.35
Stal Mielec clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Chrobry Głogów clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Stal Mielec to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Chrobry Głogów to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.7%
2-18.8%
1-08.7%
1-27.9%
0-17.8%
2-06.5%
Half-time / full-time
Stal Mielec / Stal Mielec24.5%
Chrobry Głogów / Chrobry Głogów19.9%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Draw / Stal Mielec13.9%
Draw / Chrobry Głogów12%
Questions about Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?
The model gives Stal Mielec the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Stal Mielec find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Chrobry Głogów in 74%.
When do Stal Mielec play Chrobry Głogów?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.