Skip to the predictions
Live 16 UTC
I Liga Round 12 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Ruch ChorzówHomeDWWWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiAwayWWLLL
582319
Ruch Chorzów winDrawPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.98
1.93 : 1.05
Favourite
58%
Ruch Chorzów
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.573.904.701.612.131.652.08Bet
BC.Game---1.572.28--Bet
Betwinner---1.602.25--Bet
Melbet---1.602.25--Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Ruch Chorzów to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Ruch Chorzów price at 1.57, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.90 and 1xBet have Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki longest at 4.70.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.61 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.28 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (1xBet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

58%

Our prediction

Ruch Chorzów to win
StrongExpected goals 1.93 : 1.05-9.7% against the best price
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw
80% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.61
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ruch Chorzów, full-time Ruch Chorzów
37% chance2.71fair

Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction

Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction and best bet

The Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction leans to Ruch Chorzów: 58% against 20% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, with 23% left for the draw, in the I Liga on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.98 in total, split 1.93 to Ruch Chorzów and 1.05 to Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 56%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Ruch Chorzów to win is the main selection, rated 58%. The best price in our comparison is 1.57 at 1xBet, which implies 64%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Ruch Chorzów or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.12.

Ruch Chorzów average 1.6 goals scored and 0.0 conceded across their last 5, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.2 and 0.8 across 5.

How many goals in Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.61 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 56%. Ruch Chorzów score in 86% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score in 65% while Ruch Chorzów shut them out 35% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%, followed by 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.8%).

With the top scoreline at 10.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Ruch Chorzów, full-time Ruch Chorzów is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market rated for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 58% / 23% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Ruch Chorzów to win58%1.57
Draw23%3.90
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win20%4.70
Ruch Chorzów, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, draw no bet26%fair 3.88

Double chance

Ruch Chorzów or draw80%1.12
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw43%2.13
Ruch Chorzów or Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (no draw)78%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.61
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.28
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.65
Not both teams to score44%2.08

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Ruch Chorzów to score86%fair 1.17
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score65%fair 1.54
Ruch Chorzów clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki clean sheet15%fair 6.90
Ruch Chorzów to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win to nil13%fair 7.46

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.9%
1-09.8%
2-09.5%
3-16.4%
3-06.1%

Half-time / full-time

Ruch Chorzów / Ruch Chorzów36.9%
Draw / Ruch Chorzów17.8%
Draw / Draw12.7%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki11.2%
Draw / Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki7.5%

Questions about Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Who is favourite in Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

The model gives Ruch Chorzów the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Ruch Chorzów find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in 65%.

When do Ruch Chorzów play Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki starts at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Ruch Chorzów v Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiRuch Chorzów to win, 58%
1.57Bet