Poland Cup
Arka GdyniaHomeLLLWL
1:2Half-time 1:0
Stal RzeszówAwayWLWLW662014
Arka Gdynia winDrawStal Rzeszów win
Arka GdyniaHomeLLLWLStal RzeszówAwayWLWLW- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.20 2.24 : 0.96
- Favourite
- 66% Arka Gdynia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.37 | 1.57 | 2.20 | 1.72 | 1.96 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.68 | 3.50 | 4.90 | 1.63 | 2.16 | 1.58 | 2.16 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.64 | 3.54 | 4.67 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.64 | 3.54 | 4.67 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Arka Gdynia to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Arka Gdynia price at 1.68, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.20 and 1xBet have Stal Rzeszów longest at 6.37.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 101%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.63 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.20 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.72 (1xBet) and no 2.16 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
66%
Our prediction
Arka Gdynia to win
Double chanceArka Gdynia or draw
86% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Arka Gdynia, full-time Arka Gdynia
44% chance2.27fair
Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów prediction
Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów prediction and best bet
The Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów prediction leans to Arka Gdynia: 66% against 14% for Stal Rzeszów, with 20% left for the draw, in the Poland Cup on Thursday, 29 October 2026.
Expected goals are 2.24 for Arka Gdynia and 0.96 for Stal Rzeszów, a total of 3.20, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is arka Gdynia to win at 66%. The best price in our comparison is 1.68 at BC.Game, which implies 60%, so the model sits 7 points above the market.
That gap is worth 11% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Arka Gdynia or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.14.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Arka Gdynia average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Stal Rzeszów 2.2 and 2.0 across 5.
Goals forecast for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów reads 83% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; BC.Game pay 1.63.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Arka Gdynia score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Stal Rzeszów; Stal Rzeszów score in 62% while Arka Gdynia shut them out 38% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów: 2-0 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Arka Gdynia, full-time Arka Gdynia is the top combination at 44%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win66%1.68
Draw20%4.20
Stal Rzeszów to win14%6.37
Arka Gdynia, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Stal Rzeszów, draw no bet18%fair 5.59
Double chance
Arka Gdynia or draw86%1.14
Stal Rzeszów or draw34%2.53
Arka Gdynia or Stal Rzeszów (no draw)81%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.52
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.85
Under 2.5 goals39%2.20
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.66
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.72
Not both teams to score44%2.16
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.37
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Arka Gdynia to score89%fair 1.12
Stal Rzeszów to score62%fair 1.62
Arka Gdynia clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Stal Rzeszów clean sheet11%fair 9.43
Arka Gdynia to win to nil35%fair 2.84
Stal Rzeszów to win to nil10%fair 10.20
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.2%
2-19.8%
1-09.1%
1-18.8%
3-07.6%
3-17.3%
Half-time / full-time
Arka Gdynia / Arka Gdynia44%
Draw / Arka Gdynia18.9%
Draw / Draw10.7%
Stal Rzeszów / Stal Rzeszów8.1%
Draw / Stal Rzeszów5.6%
Questions about Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów
Arka Gdynia or Stal Rzeszów: which side does the model back?
The model gives Arka Gdynia the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Arka Gdynia find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Stal Rzeszów in 62%.
When do Arka Gdynia play Stal Rzeszów?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.